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With two weeks to go before the Fed and ECB meetings, central bank speakers have their last chances to steer market expectations before the quiet periods start. However, it appears markets have fully...
FX markets continue to be buffeted by opposing forces and are struggling to define short-term trends. Despite some positive Chinese activity data, Asian currencies are not rallying, suggesting that...
Headlines like the ones below lead some to believe that the U.S. dollar’s death may be coming soon.China, Brazil Strike Deal to Ditch Dollar for Trade- Barron’s 3/2023 China Completes...
We think EUR/USD may break 1.10 next week before the US payrolls, as the dollar remains vulnerable despite some repricing of dovish Fed expectations.USD: Struggling to find supportThe dollar has...
With the yen bearing the brunt of the risk rally, the dollar saw some delayed benefits from the re-tuning in Fed rate expectations and enjoyed a modest recovery yesterday. Today, all eyes will be on...
Markets have been more stable so far this week, as investors’ assessment of the risks to European lenders have improved. This has supported the European stock markets and the single...
While most investors were trying to gauge the Federal Reserve’s next moves in light of recent bank failures last week, something interesting happened in Moscow.During a three-day state visit,...
The recent failure of two US banks, SVB and Signature, have understandably triggered a major re-appraisal of Fed tightening prospects. This has seen two-year EUR/USD swap rate differentials move to...
The USD/CHF has stalled ahead of the US jobs report on Friday, as the dollar bulls pause for a breather. But the path of least resistance remains to the upside for the greenback, as I have explained...
Fed Chair Powell opened the door to a 50bp hike and hinted at a higher peak rate in his semi-annual testimony. This was a reminder that picking the top in the dollar rally remains too risky....
In this educational video, I have described in detail how I trade the inside bar pattern. Specifically, I look for the failure of this pattern to go in the trend direction. The video is on the...
USD: How Strong is the US Economy and What Will the Fed Do About It? After a few weeks where US price data has taken centre stage, this week will all be about activity data and Fed speak. On the...
The USD/JPY and other yen crosses remain supported thanks to a hawkish Fed, mostly stronger than expected US macro data, and recent dovish comments from the new BOJ Governor. In this short video,...
The NZD/USD rebounded as the U.S. dollar sold off on Tuesday on the back of some disappointing data. But the bearish trend on the kiwi still remained intact. In fact, price was testing a key level of...
USD/JPY is picking up some upside momentum once again after BOJ leadership candidate Kazuo Ueda appeared in front of parliament last week. He supported the current ultra-loose monetary policy as...