Market Overview Analysis & Opinion

US futures are indicating a mostly flat open as of 04:45 ET. European equity markets have opened mixed, following mixed trading in Asian markets. No change in the broader market sentiment, with the...

The sharp drop in the New York Federal Reserve’s Empire State business-conditions index in January triggered a wave of warnings.Soon after this monthly survey data was released yesterday (Jan....

US futures are indicating a lower open as of 04:45 ET. European equity markets have opened in negative territory, following weaker levels in Asian markets. Equity markets remain sensitive to central...

Appreciating Apollo’s graph below, comparing recent inflation to multiple bouts of inflation of the late 1960s, 70s, and early 80s is of utmost importance for investors.Sustained levels of high...

Stocks finished the day lower, with the S&P 500 dropping by 40 bps, as the VIX surged, rates rose, and the dollar strengthened.A good portion of the move came today after Fed governor Chris Waller...

The January effect, named for the perceived market anomaly where stock returns in January are higher than in other months, has been a subject of interest since it was first written about in...

The Fed has been running QT for a while and yet there is still abundant liquidity in the financial system.Fed’s bond holdings are down $1.3 trillion from their peak (due to QT), yet only half of...

US markets will be closed today, making for another short week. This will be an option expiration week with the VIX on Wednesday and Monthly stock OPEX on Friday.This will open a window for increased...

In the most recent BLS employment report, the percentage of full-time jobs relative to the population dropped sharply.The robust headline number of 216,000 led most media commentators to suggest a...

I’m changing the way I do the monthly CPI analysis. Doing it live for an audience was always stressful, especially with the inevitable data issues from time to time.Of course, as an inflation...

We look at the ULI report on what to expect for 2024 and beyond, and Dan is joined by a member of the ULI team to get their perspectives higher for longer rates and how that will effect real...

After a gentle disinflationary easing (Goldilocks), the bond market is hinting at an inflationary steepening of the 10-2 Year Treasury Yield Spread.A yield curve can steepen under inflationary or...

In December, the consumer price index (CPI) in the United States rose by 3.4% year-over-year (YoY), marking the highest increase in three months, as reported by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics...

Watch below my quick take on this morning's US inflation and jobless claims report and what it means for stocks and the US dollar trades.