🔥 Premium AI-powered Stock Picks from InvestingPro Now up to 50% OffCLAIM SALE

Most US Equity Sectors Are Up This Year - With These 2 Exceptions

Published 2024-06-11, 07:34 a/m
SPY
-
GOOGL
-
NFLX
-
US10YT=X
-
META
-
XLY
-
GOOG
-
XLRE
-
XLC
-

The US stock market’s strong year-to-date gain so far in 2024 has enjoyed wide support among equity sectors. The two glaring downside exceptions: consumer discretionary (NYSE:XLY) and real estate (NYSE:XLRE), based on a set of ETFs through Monday’s close (June 10).

On the upside, the communications services sector (XLC) is the clear leader. Indeed, this fund, which holds the likes of Meta (NASDAQ:META), Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOGL) and Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX), has soared 16.8% so far this year. Not only is that a strong performance in absolute terms, it’s also beating the broad market (SPY), which is up 13.1%. In fact, XLC is the only sector that’s ahead of stocks overall in 2024.

US Equity Sectors

The loser’s circle this year is limited to consumer discretionary shares, which is posting a fractional loss, and real estate stocks, which are in the red by 4.1%.

XLRE holds commercial real estate investment trusts (REITs), which have struggled since the Federal Reserve started raising interest rates in early 2022. REITs are prized for their relatively high dividend payouts, but competition from risk-free Treasuries has been a tough(er) act to beat lately.

Contrarians argue that REITs are an intriguing value play. XLRE’s 3.51% trailing 12-month yield, according to Morningstar.com, is a factor. That’s nearly 80% of the current 10-year Treasury yield. Add in the potential for capital appreciation in REITs (if you’re so inclined), after a bruising couple of years, and the outlook looks relatively attractive, some analysts argue.

Maybe, but the technical profile for XLRE still leaves room for doubt. The ETF has rallied off its late-2023 low, but the price trend still looks weak. The outlook, from a technical perspective, would look brighter if XLRE can move above its recent peak of ~40. That breakout may be brewing in the near term, but at the moment optimism is limited to expecting a trading range.XLRE-Weekly Chart

On the bright side, XLRE has tested its downside support of roughly 32, and, so far, it’s held. That’s a sign that the worst may have passed for REITs. A rate cut by the Fed would help, but that’s still not on the immediate horizon, according to Fed funds futures.

Latest comments

Loading next article…
Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.