In our previous article, “Is There an XRP ETF?”, we explored why XRP has been gaining momentum, spotlighting key milestones such as Grayscale’s XRP Trust launch and its listing on Robinhood (NASDAQ:HOOD). Now, a new development from Bitwise could play a pivotal role in shaping XRP’s future in the cryptocurrency ETF space. Will this move lead to approval, or will regulatory challenges stand in the way?
Bitwise Files for an XRP ETF
Last week, Bitwise Asset Management filed for an XRP ETF, sparking fresh excitement among crypto enthusiasts. This move was seen as a potential game-changer for the cryptocurrency, signaling that XRP could be on the path to broader adoption through the ETF market. However, this wave of optimism was tempered by the SEC’s announcement of its decision to appeal last year’s court ruling on XRP. As a result, the ETF's future in the near term has become more uncertain and unclear.
SEC vs. Ripple lawsuit: A reminder
In December 2020, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) filed a lawsuit against Ripple Labs, alleging that the company had conducted an unregistered securities offering of XRP, its native cryptocurrency. Ripple countered that XRP should not be classified as a security.
The case went to trial in 2023, and in July, the court issued a mixed ruling. While the court found that XRP was not a security when sold to the public on exchanges, it determined that XRP did become a security when sold to institutional investors.
The lawsuit concluded in August 2024 with Ripple being ordered to pay a $125 million civil penalty. While this was a significant financial blow, it was far less severe than the potential consequences of a full-blown securities violation.
The XRP SEC lawsuit has been closely watched by the cryptocurrency industry due to its potential implications for the regulation of digital assets in the United States. The case has provided important insights into the SEC's approach to classifying cryptocurrencies and has raised questions about the future of digital asset regulation in the U.S.
What’s Next for XRP?
The SEC’s appeal complicates the situation, creating a more volatile environment for XRP investors. While Bitwise’s ETF filing represents progress, the regulatory battle introduces considerable uncertainty. XRP’s price has reflected this, with increased volatility following the SEC’s decision, as the market reacts to the ongoing legal proceedings.
Opinions are divided on how these developments will impact XRP’s future. Some analysts believe that the SEC’s appeal could significantly reduce the chances of an XRP ETF being approved anytime soon. Others think the appeal might be a strategic move ahead of the U.S. elections, where cryptocurrency regulation is expected to be a key issue.
The 2024 U.S. presidential election could play a pivotal role in XRP’s ETF approval prospects. A victory for pro-crypto Republican candidates may increase the likelihood of altcoin ETFs, including one for XRP, reaching the ETF market. On the other hand, a Democratic win might result in continued regulatory challenges, keeping the status quo for the coin.