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Fed Rate Monitor Tool
Fed Interest Rate Decision Jun 12, 2024 14:00
2
Weeks
4
Days
3
Hours
21
Minutes
Our Fed rate monitor calculator is based on CME Group 30-Day Fed Fund futures prices, which tend to signal the markets’ expectations regarding the possibility of changes to US interest rates based on Fed monetary policy. The tool allows users to calculate the likelihood of an upcoming Fed rate hike or cut.
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Jun 12, 2024 14:00
Future Price:
94.670
5.25 - 5.50
99.1%
5.50 - 5.75
0.9%
| Target Rate | Current | Previous Day | Previous Week |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5.00 - 5.25 | — | 4.2% | 8.9% |
| 5.25 - 5.50 | 99.1% | 95.8% | 91.1% |
| 5.50 - 5.75 | 0.9% | — | — |
Updated: May 25, 2024 00:35 EDT
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Meeting Time:
Jul 31, 2024 14:00
Future Price:
94.670
5.00 - 5.25
10.2%
5.25 - 5.50
88.9%
5.50 - 5.75
0.8%
| Target Rate | Current | Previous Day | Previous Week |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.75 - 5.00 | — | 0.6% | 2.0% |
| 5.00 - 5.25 | 10.2% | 17.4% | 27.6% |
| 5.25 - 5.50 | 88.9% | 82.0% | 70.4% |
| 5.50 - 5.75 | 0.8% | — | — |
Updated: May 25, 2024 00:35 EDT
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Sep 18, 2024 14:00
Future Price:
94.740
4.75 - 5.00
4.5%
5.00 - 5.25
44.9%
5.25 - 5.50
50.2%
5.50 - 5.75
0.5%
| Target Rate | Current | Previous Day | Previous Week |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.50 - 4.75 | — | 0.3% | 1.0% |
| 4.75 - 5.00 | 4.5% | 8.0% | 14.8% |
| 5.00 - 5.25 | 44.9% | 45.8% | 49.0% |
| 5.25 - 5.50 | 50.2% | 45.9% | 35.2% |
| 5.50 - 5.75 | 0.5% | — | — |
Updated: May 25, 2024 00:35 EDT
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Nov 07, 2024 13:00
Future Price:
94.855
4.50 - 4.75
1.1%
4.75 - 5.00
14.3%
5.00 - 5.25
46.2%
5.25 - 5.50
38.1%
5.50 - 5.75
0.3%
| Target Rate | Current | Previous Day | Previous Week |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.25 - 4.50 | — | 0.1% | 0.4% |
| 4.50 - 4.75 | 1.1% | 2.5% | 5.9% |
| 4.75 - 5.00 | 14.3% | 18.8% | 26.8% |
| 5.00 - 5.25 | 46.2% | 45.8% | 44.1% |
| 5.25 - 5.50 | 38.1% | 32.8% | 22.8% |
| 5.50 - 5.75 | 0.3% | — | — |
Updated: May 25, 2024 00:35 EDT
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Dec 18, 2024 14:00
Future Price:
94.925
4.25 - 4.50
0.6%
4.50 - 4.75
8.0%
4.75 - 5.00
31.0%
5.00 - 5.25
41.9%
5.25 - 5.50
18.3%
5.50 - 5.75
0.2%
| Target Rate | Current | Previous Day | Previous Week |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.00 - 4.25 | — | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 0.6% | 1.3% | 3.4% |
| 4.50 - 4.75 | 8.0% | 11.0% | 17.4% |
| 4.75 - 5.00 | 31.0% | 32.9% | 36.3% |
| 5.00 - 5.25 | 41.9% | 39.1% | 32.4% |
| 5.25 - 5.50 | 18.3% | 15.7% | 10.3% |
| 5.50 - 5.75 | 0.2% | — | — |
Updated: May 25, 2024 00:35 EDT
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Jan 29, 2025 14:00
Future Price:
95.005
4.00 - 4.25
0.2%
4.25 - 4.50
3.1%
4.50 - 4.75
15.7%
4.75 - 5.00
34.6%
5.00 - 5.25
34.1%
5.25 - 5.50
12.3%
5.50 - 5.75
0.1%
| Target Rate | Current | Previous Day | Previous Week |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.75 - 4.00 | — | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.5% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 3.1% | 4.7% | 9.0% |
| 4.50 - 4.75 | 15.7% | 18.7% | 24.9% |
| 4.75 - 5.00 | 34.6% | 35.1% | 34.8% |
| 5.00 - 5.25 | 34.1% | 30.8% | 23.6% |
| 5.25 - 5.50 | 12.3% | 10.2% | 6.2% |
| 5.50 - 5.75 | 0.1% | — | — |
Updated: May 25, 2024 00:35 EDT
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Mar 12, 2025 14:00
Future Price:
95.125
4.00 - 4.25
1.2%
4.25 - 4.50
7.5%
4.50 - 4.75
22.3%
4.75 - 5.00
34.4%
5.00 - 5.25
26.4%
5.25 - 5.50
8.0%
| Target Rate | Current | Previous Day | Previous Week |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.50 - 3.75 | — | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.7% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 1.2% | 1.9% | 4.6% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 7.5% | 9.3% | 15.7% |
| 4.50 - 4.75 | 22.3% | 24.0% | 29.1% |
| 4.75 - 5.00 | 34.4% | 33.7% | 30.1% |
| 5.00 - 5.25 | 26.4% | 24.1% | 16.2% |
| 5.25 - 5.50 | 8.0% | 6.9% | 3.6% |
| 5.50 - 5.75 | 0.1% | — | — |
Updated: May 25, 2024 00:35 EDT
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Apr 23, 2025 14:00
Future Price:
95.195
3.75 - 4.00
0.5%
4.00 - 4.25
3.8%
4.25 - 4.50
13.6%
4.50 - 4.75
27.3%
4.75 - 5.00
31.2%
5.00 - 5.25
18.9%
5.25 - 5.50
4.8%
| Target Rate | Current | Previous Day | Previous Week |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.25 - 3.50 | — | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.4% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 0.5% | 0.9% | 2.7% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 3.8% | 5.1% | 10.4% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 13.6% | 15.7% | 22.6% |
| 4.50 - 4.75 | 27.3% | 28.2% | 29.6% |
| 4.75 - 5.00 | 31.2% | 29.5% | 22.9% |
| 5.00 - 5.25 | 18.9% | 16.6% | 9.7% |
| 5.25 - 5.50 | 4.8% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| 5.50 - 5.75 | 0.0% | — | — |
Updated: May 25, 2024 00:35 EDT
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Jun 04, 2025 14:00
Future Price:
95.340
3.75 - 4.00
1.0%
4.00 - 4.25
5.1%
4.25 - 4.50
15.4%
4.50 - 4.75
27.8%
4.75 - 5.00
29.5%
5.00 - 5.25
16.9%
5.25 - 5.50
4.1%
| Target Rate | Current | Previous Day | Previous Week |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.00 - 3.25 | — | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.8% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 1.0% | 1.4% | 4.1% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 5.1% | 6.3% | 12.5% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 15.4% | 17.2% | 23.9% |
| 4.50 - 4.75 | 27.8% | 28.4% | 28.4% |
| 4.75 - 5.00 | 29.5% | 28.0% | 20.6% |
| 5.00 - 5.25 | 16.9% | 15.1% | 8.3% |
| 5.25 - 5.50 | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| 5.50 - 5.75 | 0.0% | — | — |
Updated: May 25, 2024 00:35 EDT
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Jul 16, 2025 14:00
Future Price:
95.395
3.50 - 3.75
0.7%
3.75 - 4.00
3.9%
4.00 - 4.25
12.4%
4.25 - 4.50
24.1%
4.50 - 4.75
29.0%
4.75 - 5.00
20.7%
5.00 - 5.25
7.9%
5.25 - 5.50
1.2%
| Target Rate | Current | Previous Day | Previous Week |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.75 - 3.00 | — | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 3.00 - 3.25 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.6% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 0.7% | 1.1% | 3.2% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 3.9% | 5.1% | 10.4% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 12.4% | 14.4% | 21.0% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 24.1% | 25.5% | 27.2% |
| 4.50 - 4.75 | 29.0% | 28.1% | 22.6% |
| 4.75 - 5.00 | 20.7% | 18.4% | 11.4% |
| 5.00 - 5.25 | 7.9% | 6.4% | 3.2% |
| 5.25 - 5.50 | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| 5.50 - 5.75 | 0.0% | — | — |
Updated: May 25, 2024 00:35 EDT
Fed Fund Rates
News
Dollar edges lower, but on track for hefty weekly gains
By Investing.com - May 24, 2024
Investing.com - The U.S. dollar edged lower in early European trade Friday, but was still on course for its largest weekly rise in over a month on fading expectations of early Federal Reserve rate...
Dollar steadies, but on track for sharp weekly loss
By Investing.com - May 17, 2024
Investing.com - The U.S. dollar edged higher in European trade Friday, but was on track for a hefty weekly fall after cooling inflation and weak retail sales brought Federal Reserve rate cuts back...
Dollar stabilizes after sharp CPI-induced fall; euro hands back some gains
By Investing.com - May 16, 2024
Investing.com - The U.S. dollar steadied in European trade Thursday, after dropping to multi-week lows overnight in the wake of a milder U.S. inflation report, which brought Fed rate cuts back into...
Analysis
Why Market Correction May Not Be Over Just Yet
By Lance Roberts - May 06, 2024
The latest FOMC meeting caused a S&P 500 rally as Jerome Powell turned more “dovish” than expected. While Powell did note that progress on inflation has been lackluster, the...
‘Fed Put’ Back on the Table: What That Means for the Market
By Alfonso Peccatiello - May 06, 2024
Last week was big for macro and markets.Today’s piece is going to cover: The Fed’s dovish announcement: a sizeable tapering of their Quantitative Tightening program; A potential upcoming...
EUR/USD Ripe for a Short Ahead of NFP Data Release: Key Trading Levels to Monitor
By Damian Nowiszewski - May 03, 2024
The Fed held its policy meeting, leaving rates unchanged but slowing down quantitative tightening. Today's focus shifts to US labor data: strong figures could justify the Fed's hawkish stance of...