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Monex Monex

Monex's Comment & Analysis.
Access a complete archive of all posts and research produced by Monex, including current material.
Central Banks aplenty By Monex - Sep 20, 2024

CAD USDCAD was fairly flat during yesterday’s trading session as the markets digested the Fed’s rate cut on Wednesday evening. Although USD remains under some selling pressure for the second straight...

The Fed fixes its July mistake By Monex - Sep 19, 2024

CAD The loonie is trading modestly stronger this morning after last night’s Fed meeting. That said, we still think USDCAD looks cheap when considering the divergent fundamentals of the US and Canada....

Retail sales the final data point ahead of the Fed By Monex - Sep 17, 2024

CAD As with other G10 currencies, US retail sales are likely to be closely studied by loonie traders. Indeed, we suspect it could be more significant for CAD than this afternoon’s CPI report. Unlike...

A 50bp Fed cut hangs in the balance By Monex - Sep 16, 2024

CAD CPI and retail sales should offer plenty of entertainment for loonie traders this week. The first of these is likely to show further disinflation progress, the second, a modest but still...

The ECB cuts, but the euro still scans as rich By Monex - Sep 13, 2024

CAD The loonie once again struggled to match price action across other G10 currencies on Thursday. USDCAD traded sideways, perhaps surprisingly given the rally for both oil and equities. That said,...

US core CPI comes in hot, supporting the dollar By Monex - Sep 12, 2024

CAD Despite the upside surprise to US core CPI, the loonie made headway through yesterday’s session. USDCAD finished Tuesday’s trading down 0.25%, almost entirely reversing Monday’s price action....

A Harris victory sees the dollar slip By Monex - Sep 11, 2024 1

CAD Yesterday saw USDACD rising through 1.36, with the loonie hitting a three-week low against the dollar. This slide came as falls for both oil and equities conspired to weigh on CAD given the...

Nonfarm payrolls to determine the next Fed steps By Monex - Sep 06, 2024

CAD The Canadian dollar has been a notable underperformer this week – unchanged against the greenback – with only Antipodean FX turning in softer results amongst the G10 FX complex. Even so, this...

A JOLTS undershoot keeps the spotlight on US jobs By Monex - Sep 05, 2024

CAD As expected, the BoC cuts rates by 25bp in their latest policy decision, announced yesterday. Similarly in line with expectations, BoC Governor Macklem ran back commentary from July suggesting...

ISM manufacturing data offers a warmup to NFPs By Monex - Sep 03, 2024

CAD Tomorrow’s BoC decision remains the major domestic event of the week for loonie traders. We continue to expect a 25bp cut from the Governing Council, accompanied by a signal that further cuts are...

Great summer By Monex - Aug 30, 2024

USD The US dollar performed well against its major peers yesterday following stronger-than-expected economic data released on Thursday. Investors await July’s US Personal Consumption Expenditure...

Middle of the week hump By Monex - Aug 28, 2024

CAD The Canadian dollar continued its recent strength against the US dollar. General USD weakness accounts for some of the CAD gains but position adjustment (CAD short covering) could also be a...

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