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Monex Monex

Monex's Comment & Analysis.
Access a complete archive of all posts and research produced by Monex, including current material.
The ECB is set to cut, and should keep on cutting By Monex - Oct 17, 2024

CAD USDCAD continues to trade below 1.38, even in spite of Wednesday’s soft inflation data, and a broader rally for the dollar. Indeed, this comes despite building speculation that the BoC could...

UK inflation sparks a sterling selloff By Monex - Oct 16, 2024

CAD Similar to the UK, yesterday’s Canadian inflation print was also soft. Unlike pound however, the loonie made gains post release, much to our surprise. USDCAD is now trading sub 1.38 in spite of...

The dollar makes gains on a deliberate Fed By Monex - Oct 15, 2024

CAD This afternoon’s Canadian CPI release, published at 13:30 BST, is arguably the major data release of note today. We expect to see headline inflation drop to 1.8% YoY, falling below the 2.0% BoC...

A quieter week coming up for the dollar By Monex - Oct 14, 2024

CAD Canada is out today for Thanksgiving, which should keep loonie price action muted to start the week. Tomorrow, however, September’s Canadian inflation report should be a key event for the loonie....

US CPI takes on renewed emphasis this week By Monex - Oct 07, 2024

CAD The emphasis for USDCAD traders to start the week remains Friday’s US jobs figures. This dynamic saw a decent jump for the pair on Friday, leaving the loonie edging towards 1.36 versus the...

Payrolls front and centre for the dollar By Monex - Oct 04, 2024

CAD USDCAD drifted higher on Thursday, belying the light North American data calendar. In part, this was a function of broader strengthening for the greenback. But, it was nevertheless interesting to...

The dollar climb continues By Monex - Oct 03, 2024

CAD Despite continued conflict in the Middle East, the loonie gave back some oil-fueled gains through Wednesday trading. This move higher for USDCAD is likely to extend today too, with PMI readings...

Middle East tensions boost the dollar By Monex - Oct 02, 2024

CAD The loonie was arguably the standout performer on Tuesday, climbing against the dollar, even as much of the G10 FX was in retreat on the escalating conflict in the Middle East. That said, this...

A hawkish Powell propels the dollar higher By Monex - Oct 01, 2024

CAD Similar to the pound, it should be a quiet day coming up for the loonie as well. Only September’s manufacturing PMI is scheduled for release, and this is unlikely to disrupt a narrative that the...

Jobs data key for the Fed and the dollar By Monex - Sep 30, 2024

CAD Despite a solid set of Canadian growth readings, USDCAD rallied on Friday, somewhat surprisingly. Even so, we continue to think the direction of travel for the pair is higher, assuming our...

US recession risks continue to look overstated By Monex - Sep 27, 2024

CAD Neither SEPH employment data nor the CFIB business survey proved market moving for USDCAD on Thursday. Today, however, July GDP figures are likely to be somewhat more impactful. Traders are...

Weaker USD By Monex - Sep 25, 2024

CAD CAD gained ground on Tuesday, testing multi-month highs against the softening USD. Markets are pivoting into a USD-short stance on rising expectations of future Fed rate cuts, helping to give the...

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