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Monex Monex

Monex's Comment & Analysis.
Access a complete archive of all posts and research produced by Monex, including current material.
Middle of the week hump By Monex - Aug 28, 2024

CAD The Canadian dollar continued its recent strength against the US dollar. General USD weakness accounts for some of the CAD gains but position adjustment (CAD short covering) could also be a...

Dollar down dominates By Monex - Aug 27, 2024

CAD Much like the ECB, the base case is for the BoC to cut rates in September. Whilst the next step in Canadian monetary policy is largely priced in, Canadian GDP on Friday may prove to provide some...

Attention turns to Jackson Hole By Monex - Aug 22, 2024

CAD While USDCAD took yet another leg lower yesterday, we see upside risks for the loonie building. Chief amongst these are the rail strikes that began in Canada overnight. This marks the first time...

The dollar slide continues By Monex - Aug 20, 2024

CAD Today’s CPI release should be the major event of note for loonie traders, even as we doubt that it will do little to derail the odds of BoC easing next month. The Governing Council has already...

All paths lead from Jackson Hole By Monex - Aug 19, 2024

CAD The Canadian Dollar’s path to September’s interest rate decision will be made clearer this week. Notwithstanding the Canadian economy’s sensitivity to central bank policy across the border, the...

Strong retail sales data helps the dollar bounce By Monex - Aug 16, 2024

CAD The slow, choppy grind higher for USDCAD continued on Thursday, propelled largely by US retail sales data that exceeded expectations. Even so, a lack of top-tier releases should see minimal...

Markets turn too dovish on the dollar By Monex - Aug 14, 2024

CAD With little on the radar domestically, US CPI will be the focus for loonie traders later today. As noted above, we expect to see a 0.2% MoM core inflation print, matching expectations, with Fed...

The calm continues after the chaos By Monex - Aug 13, 2024

CAD Similar to the greenback, the loonie also saw a quiet start to the week. A lack of cross-asset price action and minimal domestic catalysts left USDCAD to drift through Monday trading, with little...

US CPI and UK data in focus By Monex - Aug 12, 2024

USD The dollar starts the week in a quiet fashion after a very volatile week which saw it break out of recent ranges against its main counterparts, notably the EUR and JPY. With a busy calendar...

A quiet end to a busy week By Monex - Aug 09, 2024

CAD After some jitters to start the week, rebounding equities and an otherwise sparse data calendar have seen sustained loonie appreciation in advance of today’s jobs report. This afternoon’s data...

Summer breeze… By Monex - Aug 08, 2024

USD The US dollar was fairly flat during yesterday’s trading session as the summer holiday period is in full swing. The US dollar Index (DXY), which measures the value of the dollar against six other...

Volatile markets on a summer’s day By Monex - Aug 07, 2024

USD Treasuries slid as stocks rebounded and recouped Mondays losses as EURUSD closed the day down 0.3% from Tuesdays open. Vice-president Kamala Harris and her newly announced running mate Tim Walz...

Much ado about nothing By Monex - Aug 06, 2024

CAD Having briefly spiked through 1.39 early morning, USDCAD traded lower on Monday in the wake of the broad dollar’s selloff. The key dynamic for the pair today, like much of the G10 FX complex, is...

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