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Monex Monex

Monex's Comment & Analysis.
Access a complete archive of all posts and research produced by Monex, including current material.
US CPI key for Fed easing expectations By Monex - Jul 11, 2024

CAD A positive session for equities saw the loonie finish Wednesday training in the green, notching gains of just over one-tenth against the dollar in spite of the barren data calendar. Today, all...

Looking for more CAD weakness on dovish BoC By Monex - Jul 08, 2024

CAD After a busy week just gone, loonie traders look set for a quieter data calendar coming up, with no major data prints scheduled out of Canada for this week. Even so, we are still inclined to...

Weak job growth should keep BoC on track to cut By Monex - Jul 05, 2024

CAD Despite an alarming slide in yesterday’s June PMIs, the loonie posted a 0.2% gain against the dollar, propelled by a rally in global equities and a broad improvement in risk conditions. That...

Tomorrows jobs data still key for the BoC By Monex - Jul 04, 2024

CAD While today’s PMI numbers should add further confirmation that the Canadian economy remains weak, it is tomorrow’s jobs report that is key for the Bank of Canada. Admittedly, markets do expect to...

Surge in equities distracts from weak domestic data By Monex - Jul 03, 2024

CAD The return of Canadian traders to the office yesterday after the Canada Day holiday saw USDCAD drop by 0.4%, largely reversing Monday’s climb. This price action belied yet another signal that...

CAD strength to wane on weaker data By Monex - Jul 01, 2024

CAD Even as political risks in Europe dominate market thinking to start the week, Canadian jobs data on Friday should not be overlooked. This week’s jobs report is the final labour market print...

Loonie loses out despite more hawkish BoC outlook By Monex - Jun 27, 2024

CAD Looking back over the week so far, USDCAD price action has failed to tell the story of the key events in Canada. Most significantly, despite a hotter than expected CPI reading on Tuesday taking a...

Don’t believe the spike By Monex - Jun 26, 2024

CAD USDCAD finished Tuesday’s session unchanged on the day, something of a surprise given that hot CPI data put a sizable dent in the odds of a July rate cut from the BoC. Having been expected to...

CPI data should reinforce dovish BoC expectations By Monex - Jun 25, 2024

CAD While BoC Governor Macklem hit the airwaves to kick off the week, his comments on the Canadian labour market and inflation did little for the loonie, which traded broadly in line with other G10...

CAD retail sales in scope By Monex - Jun 21, 2024

CAD Canadian retail sales data should be in focus for loonie traders today. Markets are expecting a solid expansion in consumer activity, with headline sales likely to rise by 0.7% MoM in April....

BoC remains circumspect with its guidance By Monex - Jun 20, 2024

CAD While a US holiday took the focus off North America yesterday, USDCAD still weakened at the margin, falling by just shy of 0.1%. Most significantly though, the loonie’s fractional move higher was...

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