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Monex Monex

Monex's Comment & Analysis.
Access a complete archive of all posts and research produced by Monex, including current material.
The ECB cuts, but the euro still scans as rich By Monex - Sep 13, 2024

CAD The loonie once again struggled to match price action across other G10 currencies on Thursday. USDCAD traded sideways, perhaps surprisingly given the rally for both oil and equities. That said,...

US core CPI comes in hot, supporting the dollar By Monex - Sep 12, 2024

CAD Despite the upside surprise to US core CPI, the loonie made headway through yesterday’s session. USDCAD finished Tuesday’s trading down 0.25%, almost entirely reversing Monday’s price action....

A Harris victory sees the dollar slip By Monex - Sep 11, 2024 1

CAD Yesterday saw USDACD rising through 1.36, with the loonie hitting a three-week low against the dollar. This slide came as falls for both oil and equities conspired to weigh on CAD given the...

Nonfarm payrolls to determine the next Fed steps By Monex - Sep 06, 2024

CAD The Canadian dollar has been a notable underperformer this week – unchanged against the greenback – with only Antipodean FX turning in softer results amongst the G10 FX complex. Even so, this...

A JOLTS undershoot keeps the spotlight on US jobs By Monex - Sep 05, 2024

CAD As expected, the BoC cuts rates by 25bp in their latest policy decision, announced yesterday. Similarly in line with expectations, BoC Governor Macklem ran back commentary from July suggesting...

ISM manufacturing data offers a warmup to NFPs By Monex - Sep 03, 2024

CAD Tomorrow’s BoC decision remains the major domestic event of the week for loonie traders. We continue to expect a 25bp cut from the Governing Council, accompanied by a signal that further cuts are...

Great summer By Monex - Aug 30, 2024

USD The US dollar performed well against its major peers yesterday following stronger-than-expected economic data released on Thursday. Investors await July’s US Personal Consumption Expenditure...

Middle of the week hump By Monex - Aug 28, 2024

CAD The Canadian dollar continued its recent strength against the US dollar. General USD weakness accounts for some of the CAD gains but position adjustment (CAD short covering) could also be a...

Dollar down dominates By Monex - Aug 27, 2024

CAD Much like the ECB, the base case is for the BoC to cut rates in September. Whilst the next step in Canadian monetary policy is largely priced in, Canadian GDP on Friday may prove to provide some...

Attention turns to Jackson Hole By Monex - Aug 22, 2024

CAD While USDCAD took yet another leg lower yesterday, we see upside risks for the loonie building. Chief amongst these are the rail strikes that began in Canada overnight. This marks the first time...

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