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BMO upgrades Brixmor stock to Outperform, sees strong FFO growth in 2025

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 2024-12-06, 05:54 a/m
BRX
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On Friday, Brixmor Property Group (NYSE: NYSE:BRX) received an upgrade in its stock rating by BMO (TSX:BMO) Capital from Market Perform to Outperform, accompanied by a new price target of $33.00. The upgrade is based on expectations of a robust growth in funds from operations (FFO) for the year 2025, estimated at a 4.7% year-over-year increase, which is notably 1% higher than the consensus estimates.

According to InvestingPro data, BRX has demonstrated strong momentum with a 33.35% price return over the past six months and currently trades near its 52-week high of $30.67.

The analyst at BMO Capital expressed optimism regarding Brixmor's performance, citing the continued strength in retail sales and leasing activities, particularly in the third quarter of 2024. These factors are believed to contribute to enhanced earnings visibility and strength for the company.

The upgrade reflects a positive outlook on the company's financial growth despite prevailing uncertainties surrounding consumer spending. InvestingPro analysis reveals the company maintains a "GREAT" financial health score of 3.01, with particularly strong profitability metrics.

Brixmor has reportedly made significant improvements to its portfolio over the past several years, which includes offering attractive, low basis rents and presenting ample redevelopment opportunities. The company's financial position is described as strong, supported by a robust balance sheet.

Additionally, the management team at Brixmor is recognized for its depth and respect within the industry, and the company is seen as having increased opportunities for accretive acquisitions. The company has demonstrated its commitment to shareholder returns by raising its dividend for four consecutive years, currently offering a 3.9% yield.

The analyst's commentary highlights the company's potential for continued multiple expansion relative to its peers. This expectation is based on Brixmor's attractive relative growth and what is characterized as benign tenant credit conditions. The new price target suggests a positive trajectory for the company's stock value in the near future.

For a comprehensive analysis of BRX's valuation and growth prospects, investors can access detailed financial metrics and additional ProTips through InvestingPro's exclusive research reports.

In other recent news, Brixmor Property Group Inc. reported remarkable financial and operational performance in Q3 of 2024, hitting record occupancy levels and executing numerous new and renewal leases. The company's same property Net Operating Income (NOI) grew by 4.1%, and the full-year funds from operations (FFO) guidance were raised. A robust leasing environment and strategic acquisitions have contributed to the positive outlook.

Brixmor Property Group's anchor occupancy was reported at 95.6% with small shop occupancy at 97.7%. The company also reported a 22% blended cash spread on 1.1 million square feet of new and renewal leases.

The company's new small shop base rent reached a record $31 per square foot, and NAREIT FFO stood at $0.52 per share, with a raised full-year guidance to $2.13-$2.15 per share. The annual dividend increased by 5.5% to $1.15, and total liquidity was reported at $1.7 billion, with a debt to EBITDA ratio of 5.7x.

In terms of future expectations, Brixmor anticipates same property NOI growth to exceed 4% in 2025. The company is implementing a clustering strategy in key markets, including Florida, Carolinas, Northeast, California, and Texas. The company also completed $64 million in acquisitions, including Acton Plaza near Boston, and has $250 million of value-add acquisitions under control.

These recent developments showcase Brixmor Property Group's strategic focus on essential retail and its proactive approach to space management.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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