Costco shares target raised, sector perform rating on strong F1Q results

EditorNatashya Angelica
Published 2024-12-16, 09:54 a/m
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On Monday, Raymond (NS:RYMD) James has increased the stock price target for Costco Wholesale (NASDAQ:COST) to $1,070 from the previous target of $1,030. The firm maintained its Market Perform rating on the stock.

The adjustment follows Costco's reported earnings for the first quarter of fiscal year 2025, which exceeded consensus expectations for Earnings Before Interest and Taxes (EBIT) and Earnings Per Share (EPS). With a market capitalization of $440.7 billion and trailing twelve-month revenue of $258.8 billion, Costco continues to demonstrate its market leadership. The company's comparable sales were consistent with projections following their November sales report.

Costco's recent performance has been notable, with its stock value rising approximately 54% over the past year, outpacing the S&P 500's gain of around 29%. Despite concerns about the stock's valuation when compared to historical standards, the company's fundamental business model continues to demonstrate strong potential for long-term growth and market share acquisition.

The first quarter results have reinforced this outlook, with robust traffic in both U.S. and international markets, an increase in total members and members per average club, and healthy renewal rates.

The company's strategic expansion plans are also a key factor in its positive assessment, with an estimated 26 net new club openings anticipated for fiscal year 2025. This expansion is supported by Costco's solid balance sheet and robust free cash flow, which provide the company with significant flexibility for growth and capital return to shareholders.

InvestingPro data reveals the company maintains strong financial health with an overall score of "GOOD" and has consistently paid dividends for 21 consecutive years. Notably, during the second quarter of fiscal year 2024, Costco paid out a special dividend of $15 per share.

Costco's product mix, which is comprised of approximately 54% food and consumables, along with a highly loyal customer base, evidenced by a 93% renewal rate in the U.S., positions the retailer to continue capturing market share. Its value proposition, underscored by consistent traffic growth even amidst economic uncertainties, is expected to support ongoing earnings growth across various economic conditions.

In other recent news, Costco Wholesale's earnings and revenue results have been a focal point for several financial firms. The retail giant reported earnings that exceeded expectations, attributed to stronger gross margins and a favorable foreign exchange gain.

Revenue reached $254.45 billion, showing 5% growth. TD (TSX:TD) Cowen, Baird, BMO (TSX:BMO) Capital Markets, Bernstein SocGen Group, and Evercore ISI have all reaffirmed their positive ratings for Costco, increasing their price targets for the company's shares.

These upgrades reflect Costco's strong appeal to consumers and its continued revenue growth. Factors contributing to this growth include a consumer shift towards eating at home, robust seasonal non-food sales, and significant momentum in big-ticket discretionary items through its e-commerce platform. The company's core comparable sales in the U.S. rose by 7%, which included a 5% increase in store traffic and a 2% increase in average ticket size.

InvestingPro data reveals that 8 analysts have revised their earnings upward for the upcoming period, with the company maintaining a "GREAT" overall financial health score. This performance underscores the company's ability to attract and retain customers, as well as its potential for continued revenue growth. These are the recent developments for Costco Wholesale.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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