Growth ‘only OK’—Canaccord sees limited upside for Workday stock in near term

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 2024-11-27, 05:36 a/m
WDAY
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On Wednesday, Canaccord Genuity (TSX:CF) maintained its Buy rating on Workday (NASDAQ:WDAY) stock, with a steady price target of $300.00. The firm's stance comes amid tempered growth expectations for the enterprise cloud applications provider. Despite acknowledging the current challenges in achieving significant growth, Canaccord remains optimistic about Workday's potential due to several key business drivers.

Workday's management has expressed confidence in various aspects of its business, including partnerships, its standing with the US Federal government, industry-specific solutions, a comprehensive suite of services, and advancements in artificial intelligence. However, the company's growth rate is perceived as only satisfactory at present, which has implications for investor confidence and the stock's valuation prospects.

The financial analyst firm notes that while Workday's growth is sufficient to maintain a Buy rating, the current situation makes it difficult to argue for a significant outperformance of the stock in the near future. The valuation of Workday is seen as reasonable, with the stock trading at approximately 27 times enterprise value to free cash flow (EV/FCF) based on fiscal year 2026 and calendar year 2025 projections.

Investors are advised that until there is greater certainty regarding the sustainability of Workday's growth and its impact on next year's guidance, the likelihood of the stock experiencing considerable multiple expansion is limited. Despite these challenges, Canaccord believes that Workday remains an investable option due to its growth potential, thus retaining its Buy recommendation.

In other recent news, Workday Inc (NASDAQ:WDAY). reported a 16% increase in subscription revenue, reaching $1,559 million, in the third quarter. However, the company adjusted its fiscal year 2026 subscription growth forecast to a slightly lower 14%. Deutsche Bank (ETR:DBKGn) maintained its Hold rating on the shares and reduced the stock's price target from $275.00 to $265.00, citing a conservative growth approach and certain revenue recognition challenges.

Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) maintained its Overweight rating on Workday, raising the stock's price target to $330 from $315, despite the company's lowered forecast. RBC (TSX:RY) Capital also maintained its Outperform rating on Workday, keeping its price target at $300.00. On the other hand, Piper Sandler shifted from an Overweight rating to a Neutral stance, citing anticipated declines in calculated remaining performance obligations (cRPO) growth. They lowered their price target to $270 and reduced their fiscal year 2026 growth forecast to 12.5% from 14%.

In other developments, Workday announced leadership changes with Doug Robinson set to retire at the end of the fiscal year, and Rob Enslin joining as President and Chief Commercial Officer. These recent developments reflect the ongoing adjustments and strategic moves within Workday as it navigates its growth objectives.

InvestingPro Insights

Workday's financial metrics and market position offer additional context to Canaccord Genuity's analysis. According to InvestingPro data, Workday boasts a market capitalization of $71.3 billion and a P/E ratio of 46.28, reflecting the premium investors are willing to pay for its growth potential. This aligns with Canaccord's view of Workday as a growth stock, albeit with tempered expectations.

InvestingPro Tips highlight Workday's impressive gross profit margins, which stand at 75.77% for the last twelve months as of Q2 2025. This robust profitability supports the company's ability to invest in the key business drivers mentioned by management, including partnerships and AI advancements.

Another relevant InvestingPro Tip notes that Workday holds more cash than debt on its balance sheet, indicating financial stability that could be crucial as the company navigates its growth challenges. This solid financial footing may provide reassurance to investors during periods of slower growth.

For readers interested in a deeper dive into Workday's financials and market position, InvestingPro offers 13 additional tips, providing a comprehensive view of the company's strengths and potential risks.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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