JPMorgan stock 'hard to ignore' with 2025 ROTCE above target, says UBS

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 2025-01-16, 02:44 a/m
© Reuters.
JPM
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On Thursday, UBS increased their price target for JPMorgan shares, listed on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE:JPM), to $287 from the previous target of $276. The firm reaffirmed its Buy rating on the stock, signaling confidence in the bank's financial performance. The stock, currently trading near its 52-week high of $254.31, has delivered an impressive 53.65% return over the past year.

According to InvestingPro data, analyst targets for JPM range from $178 to $304, with multiple analysts recently revising their earnings estimates upward.

The UBS team highlighted JPMorgan's consistent ability to exceed expectations, noting that a "beat and raise" pattern has become the norm for the financial institution. The analysts emphasized that while JPMorgan's stock trades at a premium compared to its peers, the company's peer-leading returns on capital, which are around 20%, cannot be overlooked.

With a market capitalization of $710.79 billion and a P/E ratio of 14.07, JPM has demonstrated its financial strength through consistent dividend payments, having raised its dividend for 14 consecutive years. For deeper insights into JPM's valuation metrics and growth potential, InvestingPro subscribers can access comprehensive analysis and additional ProTips.

JPMorgan's strong capital levels and potential for sustained high returns on tangible common equity (ROTCE) were key points in UBS's assessment. The projections by UBS suggest that JPMorgan could achieve a ROTCE of 19% in 2025 and 18% in 2026, which remains above the bank's target of around 17% through the cycle.

InvestingPro's Financial Health Score rates JPM as "GOOD," supported by strong profitability metrics and momentum scores, though current analysis suggests the stock may be trading above its Fair Value.

The analysts believe that JPMorgan's outperformance in ROTCE will continue to be a focal point in discussions at upcoming management conferences and the Investor Day scheduled for May. The bank's alignment with the themes of a capital markets renaissance, resilience in the U.S. economy, and potential deregulation were also noted as positive factors. The company's revenue growth of 13.86% in the last twelve months and projected earnings of $19.18 per share for FY2024 further support the positive outlook.

UBS's maintained Buy rating reflects their view that JPMorgan stands out within the banking sector, with high returns and capital levels that position it well for the future. The revised price target represents UBS's expectation for JPMorgan's stock value in light of the bank's strong financial metrics and strategic positioning.

In other recent news, JPMorgan Chase (NYSE:JPM) & Co. has been a subject of interest for several financial firms. Keefe, Bruyette & Woods maintained its Market Perform rating for JPMorgan, coinciding with the appointment of Jennifer Piepszak as the new Chief Operating Officer.

Meanwhile, Barclays (LON:BARC) kept an Overweight rating, highlighting a 1% increase in fee income and a 21% rise in trading revenues year-over-year.

Citi reaffirmed its Neutral stance, noting an exceeded consensus estimate for core pre-provision net revenue.

Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) sustained its Buy rating, following JPMorgan's fourth-quarter earnings release, which surpassed both Goldman Sachs' estimate and the Visible Alpha Consensus Data.

Finally, Evercore ISI maintained an Outperform rating, citing a good regulatory outlook and a substantial earnings beat for the fourth quarter of 2024. These are recent developments, reflecting the bank's performance and outlook amidst the evolving economic landscape.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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