UBS maintains Buy rating on Dutch Bros, sees strong upside potential from sales drivers

EditorAhmed Abdulazez Abdulkadir
Published 2024-12-06, 09:00 a/m
BROS
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On Friday, UBS made a significant adjustment to its outlook on Dutch Bros Inc. (NYSE: NYSE:BROS), raising the coffee chain's price target to $65.00, up from the previous target of $44.00. With the stock currently trading at $53.98 and showing a remarkable 70.45% gain year-to-date, the firm has kept its Buy rating, indicating a positive view on the company's future performance. According to InvestingPro data, the stock is trading near its 52-week high of $55.79.

The upgrade is based on a favorable analysis of Dutch Bros' growth prospects, particularly in terms of new unit development and sales drivers expected to enhance same-store sales (sss) in 2025 and 2026. The company's strong revenue growth of 30.53% in the last twelve months supports this optimistic outlook. UBS has increased its estimates for the company, with InvestingPro data showing that 9 analysts have revised their earnings upwards for the upcoming period.

One of the key reasons for the raised price target is the analysis of margins and the potential contribution from various sales drivers over the next few years. UBS has also expressed greater confidence in the productivity of new stores that Dutch Bros is planning to open.

The revised price target of $65 reflects a more optimistic valuation multiple. This adjustment takes into account expanding multiples for comparable peers in the industry, increased confidence in the company's new store development targets, and the upside potential to same-store sales and EBITDA estimates for 2025 and 2026.

The potential benefits from Dutch Bros' mobile order system and the possibility of a new food launch are also seen as significant contributors to the company's growth and are factored into the increased price target.

UBS's outlook suggests that these initiatives could further strengthen Dutch Bros' market position and financial performance in the coming years. While the stock's RSI suggests it may be in overbought territory, InvestingPro subscribers can access 20+ additional exclusive tips and comprehensive financial metrics to make more informed investment decisions.

In other recent news, Dutch Bros Inc. disclosed their third-quarter financial results, showcasing a 2.7% increase in system-wide same-store sales and a 4.0% rise in company-operated sales. Piper Sandler, a financial services firm, updated its outlook on the company, lifting the stock target to $51.00 from the previous $36.00 while maintaining a Neutral rating. The firm's commentary highlighted the significance of Dutch Bros' Monthly Order Ahead Program (MOAP) and its potential influence on future consumer behavior.

Dutch Bros also anticipates a 1.0% to 2.0% increase in same-store sales for the fourth quarter of 2024, indicating a potential uptick in customer traffic. The company's recent conference call, led by Director of Investor Relations and Corporate Development, Paddy Warren, with CEO Christine Barone and CFO Josh Gounder, provided insights into its performance and future strategies.

These recent developments underscore Dutch Bros' focus on growth and strategic development, with no specific financial misses mentioned. The company continues to remain transparent with its shareholders, providing detailed information and addressing concerns through its earnings call.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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