Brent oil near 2-year highs as OPEC's compliance with cuts improves

Published 2017-10-31, 08:56 p/m
© Reuters. Brent oil near 2-year highs as OPEC's compliance with cuts improves
BARC
-
LCO
-
CL
-

* OPEC compliance to its pledged cuts at 92 pct in Oct

* Russia also seen keeping to the deal

* Market expected to be slightly undersupplied going into 2018

By Henning Gloystein

SINGAPORE, Nov 1 (Reuters) - Brent crude oil prices were near two-year highs on Wednesday as OPEC has significantly improved compliance with its pledged supply cuts and Russia is also seen keeping to the deal.

Brent futures LCOc1 , the international benchmark for oil prices, were at $61.16 per barrel at 0045 GMT, up 22 cents, or 0.36 percent, since their last close and near the $61.41 a barrel two-year high from intraday trading on Tuesday. Brent is up almost 38 percent since its 2017-lows last June.

U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude CLc1 was at $54.65 a barrel, up 27 cents, or 0.5 percent, and close to February highs. It is up almost 30 percent since 2017-lows in June.

Bullish sentiment has been fuelled by an effort this year lead by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and Russia to hold back about 1.8 million barrels per day (bpd) in oil production to tighten markets.

While compliance was low during the first half of the year, supplies have been reduced significantly since.

OPEC's October output fell by 80,000 bpd to 32.78 million bpd, putting adherence to its pledged supply curbs at 92 percent, up from September's 86 percent. is also seen to be in compliance with cutting its output by around 300,000 bpd below October 2016 levels of 11.247 million bpd. data shows that global oil markets have been slightly undersupplied during the past quarters, resulting in fuel inventory drawdowns. in supply disruptions in Iraq due to fighting and the United States as a result of hurricanes, the market looks slightly undersupplied going into next year, traders said.

What is unclear is how OPEC, Russia and the other countries involved in withholding production will exit the supply-cutting deal.

The pact runs to March 2018, and Saudi Arabia and Russia support extending the agreement to potentially cover all of next year. participants after that return to full capacity and U.S. output also grow further, a supply glut could quickly return.

"We could rapidly ... go from a predicted deficit of around 260,000 barrels to a surplus of close to 1.5 million barrels. Prices would undoubtedly collapse as a consequence," said Matt Stanley, a fuel broker at Freight Investor Services.

Another key factor will be U.S. output, which has risen by almost 13 percent since mid-2016 to around 9.5 million bpd. C-OUT-T-EIA

"U.S. crude oil production is 410,000 bpd below the April 2015 peak of 9.62 million bpd. We expect production to surpass this level before year-end," Barclays (LON:BARC) bank said.

<^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ GRAPHIC: Global crude oil supply & demand balance

http://reut.rs/2z3dPaJ

^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^>

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2025 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.