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Autodesk shares hold overweight rating and $310 target at Barclays

Published 2024-10-25, 11:54 a/m
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On Friday, Barclays (LON:BARC) reaffirmed its positive stance on Autodesk, Inc. (NASDAQ:ADSK), maintaining an Overweight rating and a price target of $310.00. The endorsement follows two significant data points for the software company.

Firstly, the September Architectural Billings Index (ABI) remained unchanged month-over-month at 45.7, with construction backlogs experiencing a slight increase. Economists showed a more optimistic outlook for the ABI than for construction backlogs, suggesting potential benefits for construction once architectural backlogs progress.

Furthermore, two of Autodesk's European partners reported robust results, attributing their success to early renewals in anticipation of the agency model change in Europe that took place in September. Mensch und Maschine, an Autodesk reseller, highlighted a 60% year-over-year growth in its Digitization segment, primarily due to a reselling boost.

Addnode Group, with around a quarter of its business in the Americas, reported a 5% year-over-year growth in its design management division, or 27% after adjusting for the effects of the Autodesk reseller model and currency fluctuations.

The analyst noted that this pattern of customer behavior, with early renewals ahead of model shifts, was expected and had been observed in other regions undergoing similar transitions. The analyst also mentioned that this trend could likely be reflected in Autodesk's Reported Performance Obligations (RPO) and possibly its billings for the third quarter.

Autodesk is a leader in 3D design, engineering, and entertainment software, and these developments could be indicative of its continued market strength and customer loyalty amidst changes in its business model. The firm's next quarterly report may provide further insights into how these factors are influencing Autodesk's financial performance.

In other recent news, Autodesk has been the focus of several analysts' attention. The company reported a 2% increase in revenue and an earnings per share of $2.15 for the second quarter, along with a free cash flow of $203 million.

This positive financial performance is linked to Autodesk's successful transition to an agency model and a direct customer billing transaction model in North America, leading to a projected 11% increase in its full-year 2025 revenue growth guidance.

At the recent Autodesk University event, the company showcased its focus on cloud and AI technologies, with new AI-related product releases and features across the industry. Analyst firms including BMO (TSX:BMO) Capital, Mizuho, Citi, BofA Securities, and Oppenheimer have updated their ratings and price targets for Autodesk.

BMO Capital maintained a Market Perform rating with a price target of $287, Mizuho kept a Neutral rating with a target of $260, Citi reaffirmed a Buy rating with a price target of $325, BofA Securities raised the price target to $325, and Oppenheimer maintained an Outperform rating with a $300 price target.

These recent developments highlight Autodesk's strategic focus on data integration and the enhancement of its AI capabilities, which are anticipated to drive future growth and innovation. The company's AI initiatives, however, are still in the development stage and are not yet ready for market release.

Autodesk's progress towards achieving its fiscal year 2026 operating margin targets of 38-40% ahead of schedule in fiscal year 2025 was also noted.

InvestingPro Insights

Autodesk's strong market position, as highlighted in the article, is further supported by recent InvestingPro data. The company's impressive gross profit margin of 91.92% for the last twelve months as of Q2 2025 underscores its operational efficiency and pricing power in the 3D design software market. This aligns with the positive outlook from Barclays and the robust performance reported by Autodesk's European partners.

InvestingPro Tips reveal that 11 analysts have revised their earnings upwards for the upcoming period, suggesting growing confidence in Autodesk's financial prospects. This optimism is reflected in the stock's performance, with a strong 32.06% price return over the past six months and a 42.74% return over the past year.

However, investors should note that Autodesk is trading at a high P/E ratio of 58.42, indicating that the stock may be priced for high growth expectations. This valuation metric should be considered alongside the company's strong market position and recent positive developments.

For readers interested in a deeper analysis, InvestingPro offers 17 additional tips for Autodesk, providing a comprehensive view of the company's financial health and market position.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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