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Deutsche Bank sets $116 target on Autoliv shares, affirms Buy rating

Published 2024-09-09, 04:56 p/m
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On Monday, Deutsche Bank (ETR:DBKGn) initiated coverage on shares of Autoliv, Inc. (NYSE:ALV) with a Buy rating and a price target of $116.00. The firm sees potential for the company's earnings to grow in the medium to long term. This optimism is based on Autoliv's position as a leading provider in the passive safety market and its ability to grow regardless of powertrain technology.


The company's diverse geographic and customer base, its ability to negotiate prices, and cost savings from its own initiatives are also contributing factors to the positive outlook.


Despite the positive rating, there are some concerns noted by Deutsche Bank regarding Autoliv's recent reduction in its full-year 2024 outlook. This revision introduces uncertainty about the company's ability to meet its 12% margin target by 2025. The downgrade in the industry's volume expectations is the primary reason for this uncertainty.


However, Deutsche Bank points out that Autoliv's internal strategies for improvement remain on track. These strategies include reductions in both indirect and direct workforce, which are expected to continue yielding benefits. Moreover, despite the challenges of fluctuating order cancellations, the company is still making progress in efficiency.


Autoliv has also expressed confidence in its ability to achieve commercial recoveries from original equipment manufacturer (OEM) customers. These recoveries are anticipated to be a significant driver of the company's margin improvement in the second half of the year. The target margin for the latter half of the year is set between 11% and 12%, indicating a recovery in profitability.


Deutsche Bank's coverage comes at a time when Autoliv is navigating through industry challenges but also leveraging its market position and internal efficiencies to maintain a positive trajectory. The $116.00 price target reflects the firm's confidence in Autoliv's strategies and its future performance in the market.


In other recent news, Autoliv, a leading automotive safety systems manufacturer, has been subject to several financial adjustments following its Q2 2024 performance. The company reported lower-than-expected earnings for the June quarter, with revenue at $2.61 billion and earnings per share (EPS) at $1.87.


In response, Autoliv revised its full-year 2024 revenue growth forecast down to 1% from the previously expected 5%. Despite this, the company anticipates a stronger second half with margins between 11-12% and plans to reduce its indirect workforce by up to 2,000, aiming to save $50 million in 2024.


Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) maintained a Buy rating on Autoliv, highlighting the company's commitment to executing its cost-saving strategies and adapting to inflationary pressures through effective pricing negotiations. Meanwhile, Mizuho Securities, Baird, and BofA Securities adjusted their price targets for Autoliv, influenced by the company's Q2 earnings and revenues.


InvestingPro Insights


As Autoliv, Inc. (NYSE:ALV) garners a favorable Buy rating from Deutsche Bank, real-time data and insights from InvestingPro further enrich the investment perspective. Autoliv's stock price has experienced volatility, with a notable decline over the last three months. However, the company's financial health shows resilience, with a market capitalization of $7.76 billion and a robust revenue growth of 8.25% in the last twelve months as of Q2 2024. This growth underscores Autoliv's ability to expand its market share in the passive safety industry.


An InvestingPro Tip highlights that Autoliv has been actively buying back shares, signaling management's confidence in the company's value. Additionally, the firm has raised its dividend for 3 consecutive years and has maintained dividend payments for an impressive 28 consecutive years, showcasing a commitment to shareholder returns. The P/E ratio of 12.87 suggests the stock is trading at a reasonable valuation relative to near-term earnings growth.


InvestingPro further provides a fair value estimate of $113.86, slightly below Deutsche Bank's target but still indicative of potential upside from the previous close of $96.03. With analysts predicting profitability this year and a dividend yield of 2.83%, Autoliv presents itself as an appealing option for investors seeking both growth and income. For those interested in a deeper analysis, InvestingPro offers additional tips and metrics on Autoliv's performance at https://www.investing.com/pro/ALV.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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