Cyber Monday Deal: Up to 60% off InvestingProCLAIM SALE

UPDATE 2-Bank of Canada seen on hold for now after rate decision

Published 2015-09-09, 11:22 a/m
© Reuters.  UPDATE 2-Bank of Canada seen on hold for now after rate decision

(Adds reaction, economist comment on rates staying on hold for
now)
By Randall Palmer and Leah Schnurr
OTTAWA, Sept 9 (Reuters) - The Bank of Canada kept its key
interest rate at 0.5 percent on Wednesday, declaring its
previous two rate cuts were still stimulating an economy that is
benefiting from solid household spending and a firm U.S.
recovery.
It added some important caveats about uncertainty abroad and
continued troubles in the resource sector, but the market
quickly interpreted the statement as meaning the central bank
was less likely to cut interest rates in the future.
"It seems they're quite comfortable with a balanced
assessment of risk, so I think this leaves the Bank of Canada on
the sidelines for quite some time," Toronto-Dominion Bank chief
Canada macro strategist David Tulk said.
The bank had cut rates in January and in July because of the
sharp oil price drop, which was causing serious reductions in
business investment, especially in the oil patch.
It said on Wednesday that the resource sector continued "to
adjust to lower prices for oil and other commodities, with some
spillover to the rest of the economy" - adjustments it said were
complex and would take considerable time.
And it said increasing uncertainty about growth prospects in
China and other emerging markets was raising questions about the
pace of global recovery.
However, weakness in the Canadian dollar is helping absorb
some of the impact of lower commodity prices and facilitating
economic adjustments, it noted, with exchange rate-sensitive
exports regaining momentum.
Still the bank said the overall export picture remained
uncertain, which struck Bank of Montreal Chief Economist Doug
Porter.
"I think caution is the byword here," he said. "That's
despite their previous sunny optimism on that front and the fact
that we've seen two very good monthly trade numbers in a row."
The market had expected the bank to stay on hold,
particularly after data showed substantial economic growth in
June ending five months of contractions, and solid job growth
and trade performance.
Traders reduced their bets of a rate cut in October to a 19
percent chance from a 32 percent chance beforehand. The market
still priced in a 46 percent chance of a cut by April 2016.
BOCWATCH
The Canadian dollar rallied to a session high of C$1.3155 to
the U.S. dollar, or 76.02 U.S. cents, from C$1.3248, or 75.48
U.S. cents.
Canada's low rates have led to a hot housing market but the
statement made no reference to that, saying only "risks to
financial stability are evolving as expected."

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.