CANADA FX DEBT-C$ falls as job market stalls, wildfire weakens outlook

Published 2016-05-06, 05:34 p/m
CANADA FX DEBT-C$ falls as job market stalls, wildfire weakens outlook
USD/CAD
-
CA2YT=RR
-
CA10YT=RR
-

* Canadian dollar at C$1.2919, or 77.41 U.S. cents
* Loonie touches weakest level since April 18 of C$1.2952
* Bond prices mixed across the maturity curve

(Adds details, quotes, updates prices)
By Fergal Smith
TORONTO, May 6 (Reuters) - The Canadian dollar weakened to a
two-week low against its U.S. counterpart on Friday as Canada's
labor market stalled, while a raging wildfire in Alberta weighed
on the country's economic outlook.
Canada lost 2,100 jobs in April as the oil-rich province of
Alberta shed still more jobs in its natural resources sector.
Economists had forecast that the labor force would be unchanged
after a strong gain in March.
"The details were on the weak side," said Doug Porter, chief
economist at BMO Capital Markets, including a another big
decline in manufacturing employment.
Economists say production cuts in Alberta's oil sands due to
a raging wildfire may bring Canadian economic growth to a
standstill in the second quarter, leaving the central bank on
the sidelines and weighing on the Canadian dollar.
Both RBC and Bank of America-Merrill Lynch slashed their
second-quarter growth forecasts on Friday to 0.5 percent and 0.6
percent, respectively. That will mark a substantial slowdown
from the near 3 percent that is expected for the first quarter.
Although less production should boost oil prices, which will
lift the Canadian dollar, that will likely be offset by the
weaker economic fundamentals, said Scott Smith, senior market
analyst at Cambridge Global Payments.
The Canadian dollar CAD=D4 ended the North American
trading session at C$1.2919 to the greenback, or 77.41 U.S.
cents, weaker than Thursday's close of C$1.2868, or 77.71 U.S.
cents.
The currency touched its weakest level since April 18 of
C$1.2952.
Overnight index swaps imply a 26 percent chance of a Bank of
Canada interest rate cut this year, having swung from a 20
percent chance of a hike seen at the beginning of the week.
BOCWATCH
That is in contrast to the United States, where New York
Federal Reserve President William Dudley said that two U.S.
interest rate hikes this year are a reasonable expectation.

Speculators increased bullish bets on the loonie, Commodity
Futures Trading Commission data showed. Net long Canadian dollar
positions rose to 18,943 contracts in the week ended May 3 from
11,999 contracts in the prior week.
Canadian government bond prices were mixed across the
maturity curve, with the two-year CA2YT=RR price up 1.5
Canadian cents to yield 0.561 percent and the benchmark 10-year
CA10YT=RR rising 4 Canadian cents to yield 1.353 percent.
The Canada-U.S. 10-year spread was 3.6 basis points more
negative at -42.6 basis points, its largest gap since April 19,
as Canadian government bonds outperformed.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2025 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.