CANADA FX DEBT-C$ weakens as oil retreats, export volumes fall

Published 2016-12-06, 10:00 a/m
© Reuters.  CANADA FX DEBT-C$ weakens as oil retreats, export volumes fall
USD/CAD
-
CL
-
CA2YT=RR
-
CA10YT=RR
-

* Canadian dollar at C$1.3303, or 75.17 U.S. cents

* Bond prices slightly higher across the yield curve

By Fergal Smith

TORONTO, Dec 6 (Reuters) - The Canadian dollar weakened against its U.S. counterpart on Tuesday as oil fell and domestic trade data showed a disappointing drop in export volumes.

Canada posted a smaller-than-expected trade deficit of C$1.13 billion in October, down from a record C$4.38 billion shortfall in September, when a one-time shipment of oil machinery boosted imports, Statistics Canada data showed. the Bank of Canada will pay more attention to is the seven-tenths decline in export volumes on the month," said Scotiabank Vice President Derek Holt. "That plays to the concern that the (third-quarter) export surge was transitory."

Prices fell for oil, one of Canada's major exports, as data showed output rose for most major producers despite plans for curbs by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and Russia. O/R

U.S. crude CLc1 prices were down 2.39 percent at $50.55 a barrel.

At 9:20 a.m. EST (1420 GMT), the Canadian dollar CAD=D4 was trading at C$1.3303 to the greenback, or 75.17 U.S. cents, weaker than Monday's close of C$1.3276, or 75.32 U.S. cents.

The currency's strongest level of the session was C$1.3253, while its weakest was C$1.3311.

On Monday, the loonie reached a more than six-week peak against the greenback at C$1.3236, helped by recent stronger-than-expected domestic data and the agreement by major oil producers to cut output.

Still, the Canadian dollar is expected to weaken over the coming months as likely monetary policy divergence overshadows higher oil prices, a Reuters poll found. Bank of Canada is widely expected to hold interest rates at 0.50 percent on Wednesday, with investors focused on the policy statement for any mention of how the U.S. election of Donald Trump could affect the Canadian and U.S. economies.

The implied probability of a rate hike by mid-2017 was nearly 20 percent, overnight index swaps data showed, little changed from before the trade data. Just one month ago, there was a 30 percent probability of a rate cut. BOCWATCH

Canadian government bond prices were slightly higher across the yield curve, with the two-year CA2YT=RR up 2.5 Canadian cents to yield 0.729 percent and the benchmark 10-year CA10YT=RR rising 7 Canadian cents to yield 1.62 percent.

On Thursday, the 10-year yield touched its highest in more than one year at 1.712 percent.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2025 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.