CANADA FX DEBT-C$ weakens as Yellen, data boost Fed hike bets

Published 2016-11-17, 05:03 p/m
© Reuters.  CANADA FX DEBT-C$ weakens as Yellen, data boost Fed hike bets
USD/CAD
-
CA2YT=RR
-
CA10YT=RR
-

(Adds analyst comment, updates prices to close)

* Canadian dollar settles at C$1.3507, or 74.04 U.S. cents

* Loonie had earlier touched strongest since Nov. 10 at C$1.3400

* Bond prices lower across the yield curve

By Alastair Sharp

TORONTO, Nov 17 (Reuters) - The Canadian dollar weakened against its U.S. counterpart on Thursday as strong U.S. economic data and comments from Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen solidified expectations of a U.S. interest rate hike next month.

A broadly stronger greenback weighed on oil prices, which had earlier helped the loonie strengthen to a one-week high on hopes for an OPEC deal to limit production. O/R

Oil is one of Canada's major exports.

The Canadian dollar CAD=D4 settled at C$1.3507 to the greenback, or 74.04 U.S. cents, weaker than Wednesday's close of C$1.3441, or 74.40 U.S. cents.

The U.S. dollar and bond yields have jumped since last week's presidential election victory by Donald Trump, who has promised tax cuts and spending that could spark U.S. inflation.

While the market broadly expects a Fed hike in December, the Bank of Canada is seen stuck on the sidelines.

"The Bank of Canada is handcuffed when it comes to raising interest rates in response to the Fed given the vulnerabilities in the housing market," said Scott Smith, senior market analyst at Cambridge Global Payments in Toronto.

He said the Canadian currency could push up to C$1.37 or C$1.38 into early 2017 as the market moves to price in a more aggressive Fed hiking cycle through next year.

The currency's weakest level of the session was C$1.3522, while it touched its strongest since Nov. 10 at C$1.3400. On Monday, the currency touched its weakest in eight months at C$1.3589.

Canada's inflation report for October is due on Friday. The annual inflation rate is forecast to rise to 1.5 percent, closer to the Bank of Canada's 2 percent target. ECONCA

U.S. consumer prices recorded their biggest increase in six months in October, helping support the December Fed hike thesis. U.S. central bank could raise rates "relatively soon" if economic data keeps pointing to an improving labor market and rising inflation, Fed Chair Yellen said. activity to Canadian small businesses slowed modestly in September, though borrowing picked up for medium-sized firms, a report showed. investors bought a net C$11.77 billion in Canadian securities in September, mainly in new bonds, Statistics Canada said. government bond prices were lower across a steeper yield curve in sympathy with U.S. Treasuries. The two-year CA2YT=RR dipped 3 Canadian cents to yield 0.676 percent, and the benchmark 10-year CA10YT=RR fell 50 Canadian cents to yield 1.561 percent.

The 10-year yield touched its highest since December on Wednesday.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2025 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.