CANADA FX DEBT-C$ rallies as BoC hikes rates despite NAFTA cloud

Published 2018-01-17, 02:59 p/m
© Reuters.  CANADA FX DEBT-C$ rallies as BoC hikes rates despite NAFTA cloud
USD/CAD
-
CA2YT=RR
-
CA10YT=RR
-

* Canadian dollar at C$1.2387, or 80.73 U.S. cents

* Loonie touches its strongest since Jan. 5 at C$1.2362

* Bond prices mixed across the yield curve

* Canada-U.S. 2-year spread widens by 2.9 basis points

By Fergal Smith

TORONTO, Jan 17 (Reuters) - The Canadian dollar strengthened to a 12-day high against the greenback on Wednesday after the Bank of Canada hiked interest rates and indicated confidence in the outlook for the economy, even as it sounded a cautious tone on the future of NAFTA.

The central bank raised its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points to 1.25 percent, as expected, after recent data showed strong job growth and firmer inflation.

The loonie initially fell as the bank's worries about prospects for the North American Free Trade Agreement dented expectations for additional rate increases. BOCWATCH

Canada, which sends about 75 percent of its exports to the United States, is increasingly convinced U.S. President Donald Trump will soon announce that the United States intends to pull out of NAFTA.

But the "balanced tone" of a press conference with Bank of Canada Governor Stephen Poloz and Senior Deputy Governor Carolyn Wilkins helped the currency recover, said Eric Theoret, currency strategist at Scotiabank.

"They were really quick to highlight a lot of the positive and constructive developments that made them optimistic about the forecast and the outlook for the economy," Theoret said.

The central bank raised its forecast for 2018 growth to 2.2 percent from 2.1 percent, while it also bumped up its forecast for 2019, after an estimated 3.0 percent expansion in 2017.

At 2:46 p.m. EST (1946 GMT), the Canadian dollar CAD=D4 was trading 0.4 percent higher at C$1.2387 to the greenback, or 80.73 U.S. cents.

The currency's weakest level of the session was C$1.2540, while it touched its strongest since Jan. 5 at C$1.2362.

The price of oil, one of Canada's major exports, rose ahead of the release of U.S. petroleum data that was expected to show a ninth straight weekly drawdown in crude inventories. government bond prices were mixed across the yield curve, with the two-year CA2YT=RR up 2 Canadian cents to yield 1.764 percent and the 10-year CA10YT=RR falling 15 Canadian cents to yield 2.19 percent.

The gap between the two-year yield and its U.S. counterpart widened by 2.9 basis points to a spread of -27.4 basis points, its widest since Dec. 15.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2025 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.