🧐 ProPicks AI October update is out now! See which stocks made the listPick Stocks with AI

Canadian dollar steadies near 8-month high ahead of domestic jobs data

Published 2019-07-04, 03:47 p/m
© Reuters.  Canadian dollar steadies near 8-month high ahead of domestic jobs data
USD/CAD
-
CL
-
CA2YT=RR
-
CA10YT=RR
-

* Loonie touches an eight-month high at 1.3038 per U.S. dollar

* Price of U.S. oil falls 0.9%

* Canadian government bond prices dip across a flatter yield curve

By Fergal Smith

TORONTO, July 4 (Reuters) - The Canadian dollar was little changed against its U.S. counterpart on Thursday, holding near an earlier eight-month high which was notched after a number of recent data releases pointed to a pick up in the domestic economy.

At 3:25 p.m. (1925 GMT), the Canadian dollar CAD=D4 was trading nearly unchanged at 1.3055 to the greenback, or 76.60 U.S. cents. The currency touched its strongest level since Oct. 25, last year at 1.3038, while its weakest was 1.3079.

The narrow range for the currency came as markets were closed in the United States for the Independence Day holiday.

"There is certainly decent momentum for the Canadian dollar given the string of strong and somewhat surprising data," said Michael Goshko, a corporate risk manager at Western Union Business Solutions.

Data last Friday showed faster-than-expected growth in Canada's economy in April, while a report on Wednesday showed a surprise swing in the May trade balance to surplus. Canada's jobs report for June is due on Friday. the data begins to really soften in Canada, the BoC is going to be standing pat as far as the eye can see ... that's certainly at odds with what is going on in the United States."

Money markets see about a 20% chance of an interest rate cut this year from the Bank of Canada, down from about 50% two weeks ago. The central bank will next week make an interest rate decision and revise its growth forecasts for the economy. BOCWATCH

The Federal Reserve has signaled that it could ease rates as early as this month due to growing risks to the U.S. economy, especially related to the trade war between Washington and Beijing, and low inflation.

The loonie notched an eight-month high even as the price of oil, one of Canada's major exports, was weighed down by data showing a smaller-than-expected draw on U.S. crude stockpiles along with worries about the global economy. U.S. crude oil futures CLc1 were down 0.9% at $56.80 a barrel. government bond prices were lower across a flatter yield curve, with the two-year CA2YT=RR down 4 Canadian cents to yield 1.520% and the 10-year CA10YT=RR falling 10 Canadian cents to yield 1.466%.

The 10-year yield fell 1.2 basis points further below the 2-year yield to a negative spread of 5.4 basis points. On Friday, that part of the curve inverted for the first time since August 2007.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.