🐂 Not all bull runs are created equal. November’s AI picks include 5 stocks up +20% eachUnlock Stocks

Dollar extends gain ahead of US inflation data

Published 2024-01-08, 01:26 a/m
© Reuters. U.S. dollar banknote is seen in this picture illustration taken May 3, 2018. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/file photo
USD/JPY
-
NZD/USD
-
NZD/JPY
-
DX
-

By Rae Wee

SINGAPORE (Reuters) -The dollar edged broadly higher on Monday as risk appetite remained subdued ahead of a key U.S. inflation report later in the week that is likely to provide further clarity on the Federal Reserve's monetary policy outlook.

The yen was nursing deep losses from last week and struggled near the 145 per dollar level, while the risk-sensitive Australian and New Zealand dollars edged lower in a cautious start to the week.

Trading was thinned in Asia with Japan out on a holiday.

Against the yen, the dollar fell 0.22% to 144.29, paring some of its gains from last week when it jumped 2.6% on the Japanese currency, its best weekly performance since June 2022.

The kiwi dipped 0.05% to $0.6239, after having slid 1.2% last week, while the U.S. dollar index steadied at 102.43.

The greenback's rally was underpinned by a rebound in U.S. Treasury yields as traders tempered their expectations of the pace and scale of Fed cuts this year.

A reading on U.S. inflation due on Thursday could again alter those views, after data on Friday showed U.S. employers hired more workers than expected in December while raising wages at a solid clip, pointing to a still-resilient labour market.

However, a separate survey out the same day showed the U.S. services sector slowed considerably last month, with a measure of employment dropping to the lowest level in nearly 3-1/2 years, painting a mixed picture of the world's largest economy.

"On balance, the key labour market themes remain in place. The labour market is no longer as tight as it was earlier in the recovery as signalled by slower job growth, less turnover and slower wage gains," said economists at Wells Fargo (NYSE:WFC) of the nonfarm payrolls report.

"That said, job growth remains solid on an absolute basis even if it has slowed on a relative one, and the low level of layoffs remains encouraging.

"We suspect the FOMC will keep the Fed funds rate unchanged over the next few months as it awaits additional confirmation that inflation is durably on its way to 2%."

Market pricing now shows a roughly 64% chance that the Fed could begin easing rates as early as March, compared to a nearly 90% chance a week ago, according to the CME FedWatch Tool.

Elsewhere, sterling lost 0.12% to last trade at $1.27035, while the euro was flat at $1.09405, after slipping 0.9% last week.

The Aussie slid 0.13% to $0.67055, extending its 1.5% fall from last week.

© Reuters. U.S. dollar banknote is seen in this picture illustration taken May 3, 2018. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/file photo

A reading on Australian inflation is also due later this week.

"We do need to see some easing in the core measure, because that's really where the (Reserve Bank of Australia) is focusing," said Tony Sycamore, market analyst at IG Australia.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.