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FOREX-Dollar nurses losses after benign inflation data

Published 2021-03-10, 07:27 p/m
© Reuters.

* Graphic: World FX rates https://tmsnrt.rs/2RBWI5E

* Soft CPI data takes some steam out of reflation trade

* Dollar's upward trend remains intact

* ECB divided over response to rising bond yields

By Stanley White

TOKYO, March 11 (Reuters) - The dollar nursed losses against most currencies on Thursday after benign data on U.S. consumer price data and a decline in Treasury yields led some investors to trim bets on a rapid acceleration in inflation.

The euro was in focus ahead of a European Central Bank meeting later on Thursday where policymakers are expected to send a message that they will prevent bond yields from rising further and harming the bloc's economic outlook. for the dollar remains fairly positive as the U.S. economy is recovering from the coronavirus pandemic and President Joe Biden's $1.9 trillion stimulus bill has won final approval in Congress, so any further declines in the dollar are likely temporary.

"The reflation trade looks set to continue," said Junichi Ishikawa, senior foreign exchange strategist at IG Securities.

"The dollar is the dominant theme in the currency market, and this is just a temporary pause in its uptrend."

Against the euro EUR=D3 , the dollar was quoted at $1.1928, nursing a 0.2% loss from the previous session.

The British pound GBP=D3 bought $1.3933 after rising 0.3% on Wednesday.

The dollar traded at 108.37 yen JPY=D3 , extending a pullback from a nine-month high reached on Tuesday.

Against the safe-harbour Swiss franc CHF=D3 , the dollar bought 0.9297.

U.S. core consumer prices rose 1.3% year-on-year in February, a slight slowdown from a 1.4% annual increase in the previous month, data showed on Wednesday. dollar and U.S. Treasury yields have been rising steadily due to expectations that the Federal Reserve's loose monetary policy and fiscal stimulus will stoke inflation, but the subdued price data took some momentum away from the greenback.

Traders are also closely watching an auction of 30-year Treasuries later on Thursday, which will be an important test of demand for new debt. auction of 10-year Treasuries on Wednesday was met with sufficient demand, easing concerns about investors' ability to absorb an increase in debt needed to finance the response to the coronavirus.

If future auctions also draw reasonably strong demand this would be another positive factor for the dollar, according to IG Securities' Ishikawa.

The dollar index =USD against a basket of six major currencies was little changed at 91.771.

Investors have been testing the ECB's resolve to rein in rising bond yields. So far the euro zone's central bank has refrained from large-scale market intervention, and policymakers are divided on whether one is warranted ahead of their meeting on Thursday.

Policymakers have also expressed concern about strength in the euro, which is another reason for traders to remain cautious before the ECB's meeting. the Australian AUD=D3 and New Zealand dollars NZD=D3 steadied against the greenback, but sentiment for the antipodean currencies remains strong due rising commodity prices and expectations for an acceleration in global trade. ========================================================

Currency bid prices at 0014 GMT Description

RIC

Last

U.S. Close Pct Change

YTD Pct

High Bid

Low Bid

Previous

Change

Session

Euro/Dollar

EUR=EBS

$1.1928

$1.1929

-0.01%

-2.37%

+1.1930

+1.1924 Dollar/Yen

JPY=D3

108.3700

108.5400

-0.16%

+4.91%

+108.4600 +108.3600 Euro/Yen

EURJPY=

129.26

129.28

-0.02%

+1.84%

+129.3700 +129.2500 Dollar/Swiss

CHF=EBS

0.9297

0.9299

-0.01%

+5.10%

+0.9299

+0.9298 Sterling/Dollar GBP=D3

1.3933

1.3935

-0.01%

+1.99%

+1.3935

+1.3929 Dollar/Canadian CAD=D3

1.2612

1.2620

-0.04%

-0.93%

+1.2621

+1.2615 Aussie/Dollar

AUD=D3

0.7740

0.7737

+0.05%

+0.63%

+0.7741

+0.7730 NZ

NZD=D3

0.7198

0.7195

+0.03%

+0.22%

+0.7198

+0.7191 Dollar/Dollar

All spots FX= Tokyo spots AFX= Europe spots EFX= Volatilities FXVOL= Tokyo Forex market info from BOJ TKYFX

<^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ World FX rates

https://tmsnrt.rs/2RBWI5E

^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^>

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