🧐 ProPicks AI October update is out now! See which stocks made the listPick Stocks with AI

Loonie trades sideways as investors await clues on rate outlook

Published 2020-01-16, 04:32 p/m
© Reuters.  CANADA FX DEBT-Loonie trades sideways as investors await clues on rate outlook
USD/CAD
-
CL
-
ADP
-
CA2YT=RR
-
CA10YT=RR
-

* Canadian dollar trades near flat against the greenback

* Canada adds 46,200 jobs in December

* Loonie trades in a range of 1.3033 to 1.3056

* Canadian bond prices fall across a steeper yield curve

By Fergal Smith

TORONTO, Jan 16 (Reuters) - The Canadian dollar was little changed against the greenback on Thursday, extending this week's sideways trading pattern as investors awaited economic data over the coming weeks that could shape expectations for the Bank of Canada interest rate outlook.

At 3:48 p.m. (2048 GMT), the Canadian dollar CAD=D4 was trading nearly unchanged at 1.3042 to the greenback, or 76.68 U.S. cents. The currency, which has moved in a narrow range since hitting a near two-week low last Thursday at 1.3104, traded between 1.3033 and 1.3056.

"We think over the next couple of weeks we'll definitely be getting a better read on how (Canadian) Q4 GDP shaped up," said Mazen Issa, senior FX strategist at TD Securities. "Currently our tracking for GDP is pretty abysmal ... tracking at about a 0.5% increase."

November data for manufacturing, wholesale trade and retail sales is due next week, while the Bank of Canada will make an interest rate decision and update its outlook for the economy.

In October, the central bank projected a 1.3% annualized increase for fourth-quarter gross domestic product.

"The market is still under-appreciating what the BoC response could be" if economic data disappoints, Issa said.

Money markets see chances of a rate cut by April at less than 20%. BOCWATCH

Data on Thursday from payroll services provider ADP (NASDAQ:ADP) showed that Canada's economy added 46,200 jobs in December, the sixth straight month of gains. U.S. Senate approved a revamp of the 26-year-old North American Free Trade Agreement that includes tougher rules on labor and automotive content but leaves $1.2 trillion in annual U.S.-Mexico-Canada trade flows largely unchanged.

Canada sends about 75% of its exports to the United States, including oil.

U.S. crude oil futures CLc1 settled 1.2% higher at $58.52 a barrel as progress on another major trade deal following the Phase 1 U.S.-China accord fed optimism that energy demand will grow in 2020. government bond prices were lower across a steeper yield curve in sympathy with U.S. Treasuries. The two-year CA2YT=RR fell 2.5 Canadian cents to yield 1.650% and the 10-year CA10YT=RR was down 19 Canadian cents to yield 1.556%.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.