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CANADA FX DEBT-C$ notches a 2-week high as inflation picks up

Published 2017-08-18, 10:12 a/m
© Reuters.  CANADA FX DEBT-C$ notches a 2-week high as inflation picks up
USD/CAD
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CA2YT=RR
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* Canadian dollar at C$1.2586, or 79.45 U.S. cents

* Loonie at session high

* Bond prices mixed across the yield curve

* 10-year spread vs U.S. Treasuries narrows by 1.2 basis points

TORONTO, Aug 18 (Reuters) - The Canadian dollar rose to a two-week high against its U.S. counterpart on Friday, as data showing an uptick in the Bank of Canada's core measures of inflation supported the view that the central bank will raise interest rates in the fall.

Canada's overall annual inflation rate rose to 1.2 percent from June's 20-month low of 1.0 percent, matching analysts' expectations. of the three measures of core inflation that the Bank of Canada introduced last year saw gains, Statistics Canada said.

"They (the core measures) are trending higher, and this is consistent with the output gap being almost closed," said Jimmy Jean, senior economist at Desjardins Capital Markets.

The output gap is the difference between what an economy produces and its potential production, without overheating.

Desjardins sees the Canadian central bank on track to hike rates again in the fall.

Strengthening in the domestic economy prompted the central bank to raise interest rates in July for the first time in nearly seven years.

The market sees a two-in-three chance of another hike in October, overnight index swaps figures show, little changed from before the inflation data. BOCWATCH

The bank's benchmark policy rate currently sits at 0.75 percent.

At 9:28 a.m. ET (1328 GMT), the Canadian dollar CAD=D4 was trading at C$1.2586 to the greenback, or 79.45 U.S. cents, up 0.8 percent.

The currency's weakest level of the session was C$1.2691, while it touched its strongest since Aug. 4 at C$1.2575.

Gains for the loonie came even as prices of oil, one of Canada's major exports, edged lower. U.S. crude CLc1 prices were down 0.19 percent at $47.00 a barrel. L4N1L41CS

The U.S. dollar .DXY dipped against a basket of major currencies, pressured by continuing uncertainty over the White House's ability to push through its economic agenda. government bond prices were mixed across the yield curve, with the two-year CA2YT=RR price flat to yield 1.231 percent and the 10-year CA10YT=RR rising 8 Canadian cents to yield 1.838 percent.

Still, the difference between the 10-year yield and its U.S. equivalent narrowed by 1.2 basis points to a spread of -33.7 basis points, as Canadian government bonds underperformed.

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