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Costco is 'the gold standard in retail,' Oppenheimer says

Published 2024-12-10, 10:22 a/m
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Investing.com -- Costco Wholesale continues to exemplify excellence in the retail industry, maintaining its status as a top pick for Oppenheimer analysts.

Reiterating its Outperform rating on the stock in a note Tuesday, Oppenheimer raised Costco (NASDAQ:COST)'s price target to $1,075 from $980, citing strong market share gains and top-line momentum.

"COST remains the gold standard in retail," stated Oppenheimer. "We continue to see a strong outlook for market share gains and believe COST is well positioned to sustain robust top-line momentum."

The retailer's enhanced merchandising, from premium brands to innovative gift card offerings, is said to position it to sustain its growth.

While upcoming quarterly results may hold "limited upside potential," Oppenheimer notes that the focus remains on the sustainability of e-commerce margin improvements seen in Q4.

They add that Costco's membership base is another driver of success, with high single-digit growth over recent quarters. New membership scanning efforts are also said to have shown promise, although Oppenheimer does not expect this to materially impact near-term earnings.

Year-to-date, Costco shares are up 51%, outperforming the S&P 500's 28% rise and rival gains like Walmart (NYSE:WMT)'s 82%.

This momentum, coupled with the potential for a stock split, could serve as a positive catalyst in the future, according to Oppenheimer.

Despite trading at a premium valuation of 54.1x earnings—well above its historical average of 35.6x—Oppenheimer believes Costco's strong global growth prospects and competitive edge justify the higher multiple.

The firm concludes, "We continue to believe a premium valuation is warranted given COST's superior global unit growth prospects, its leading competitive position, and a track record of driving share gains."

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