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Dow futures higher; attention turns to earnings in retail sector

Published 2023-08-14, 06:50 a/m
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Investing.com -- U.S. stock futures traded slightly higher Monday, at the start of a week that promises more insight into the health of the U.S. consumer, with the release of quarterly results from big-box stores and retail sales data.

By 06:30 ET (10:30 GMT), the Dow Futures contract was up 65 points, or 0.2%, S&P 500 Futures traded 10 points, or 0.2%, higher and Nasdaq 100 Futures climbed 60 points, or 0.4%.

The main equities indices have had a tricky start to August, with the broad-based S&P 500 and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite both falling last week, the Nasdaq’s first two-week losing streak of the year.

The blue chip Dow Jones Industrial Average, however, posted small gains last week, its fourth positive week in five.

Fed minutes to offer monetary policy clues

Inflation data at the end of last week came in a touch stronger than expected, causing Treasury yields to rise as investors factored in the possibility of the Federal Reserve continuing to tighten monetary policy in September.

However, this is not the prevailing wisdom, with Goldman Sachs speaking for many when it expects the central bank to pause in September and then declare in November that a moderation in inflation means that a final hike would be "unnecessary."

The influential investment bank then sees the Fed starting to cut interest rates again by the end of next June, rolling out gradual reductions in borrowing costs every quarter after that month.

The Fed releases the minutes from its July policy meeting on Wednesday, which should help investors gauge the appetite for further rate increases ahead of its annual get-together in Jackson Hole, Wyoming at the end of the month.

Major retailers set to release earnings

Ahead of this, Tuesday sees the release of the retail sales for July, a gauge into the health of consumer spending as investors await quarterly earnings from a number of the country’s big retailers.

Home Depot (NYSE:HD) is due to release results on Tuesday, Target (NYSE:TGT) on Wednesday and Walmart (NYSE:WMT) on Thursday.

The second-quarter earnings season is winding down with S&P 500 results presenting a mixed picture - companies are beating analysts' profit expectations at the highest rate in nearly two years even as revenue beats dropped to the lowest since early 2020.

Tesla cuts prices in China

Elsewhere, Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) has cut prices in China for two of its Model Y model, as the electric carmaker attempts to combat increased competition and entice customers wary of making big purchases in an uncertain economy.

Sales of Tesla cars made in China dropped by 31% month-on-month in July, the first decline since December.

Crude retreats as dollar rises

Oil prices retreated Monday, as concerns about China’s faltering economic recovery as well as a stronger dollar prompted profit-taking after seven weeks of gains on tightening supply from OPEC+ output cuts.

Friday’s U.S. producer price index release saw the dollar climb to a five-week high, which hurts demand for crude as it makes the commodity more expensive for international buyers.

By 06:30 ET, U.S. crude futures traded 0.5% lower at $82.78 a barrel, while the Brent contract dropped 0.5% to $85.42.

Additionally, gold futures traded largely flat at $1,946.65/oz, while EUR/USD rose 0.1% to 1.0949.

(Oliver Gray contributed to this item.)

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