🤯 Have you seen our AI stock pickers’ 2024 results? 84.62%! Grab November’s list now.Pick Stocks with AI

GLOBAL MARKETS-Oil slump triggers rally in safe-haven bonds, yen and gold

Published 2017-05-05, 05:27 a/m
© Reuters.  GLOBAL MARKETS-Oil slump triggers rally in safe-haven bonds, yen and gold
EUR/USD
-
USD/JPY
-
XAU/USD
-
USD/RUB
-
GC
-
LCO
-
CL
-
US10YT=X
-
STOXX
-
DXY
-

* Graphic: World FX rates in 2017 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

* Oil drops to near 6-month low before rebounding on OPEC cut talk

* Iron ore futures fall sharply in China

* Safe-haven bonds, yen and gold all make ground

* Euro hovers at highest since Nov ahead of French elections

* Bond yields drift lower

By Marc Jones

LONDON, May 5 (Reuters) - A slump in oil prices to the lowest in almost six months rattled commodity markets on Friday and triggered a rally in safe-haven bonds, the yen and gold.

Stocks also flinched both in Asia and Europe, catching investors that had been expecting to spend the day mostly looking ahead to U.S. jobs data and Sunday's French elections, on the back foot. .EU

They had to duck for cover overnight as both Brent LCOc1 and U.S. CLc1 crude prices fell more than 3 percent to below $47 a barrel at one stage on mounting concerns about global oversupply. O/R

Things only began to stabilise when Saudi Arabia's OPEC chief hit the wires in European hours, saying there was a growing consensus among oil pumping countries that they needed to continue to "rebalance" the market. whole commodity complex has been affected by this and it could have some pretty big implications if it continues for much longer," said Saxo bank's head of FX strategy John Hardy.

"If you look at global risk appetite, equities have been pretty quiet and that feeds into FX as well if carries on and there is a risk switch."

Oil wasn't the only commodity that suffered. Chinese iron ore futures DCIOcv1 fell almost 7 percent in Shanghai after tumbling 8 percent on Thursday. and Canadian dollar CAD= , the Australian dollar AUD= and Russia's rouble RUB= - some of the world's most commodity- sensitive currencies - were all sent spinning, falling respectively to 14-month, four-month and seven-week lows. FRX/

They all fought back, though, after the Saudi OPEC governor's comments that: "A six-month extension (to production cuts) may be needed to rebalance the market, but the length of the extension is not firm yet."

The euro EUR= meanwhile touched six-months highs of almost $1.10 ahead of France's weekend election, in which polls now expect centrist Emmanuel Macron to convincingly beat right-wing and anti-euro rival Marine Le Pen. FRX/

The gap between French and German 10-year government borrowing costs also hit a six-month low and despite the dip on the day, European shares .STOXX were heading for a healthy 1.2 percent rise for the week. GVD/EUR

"I think now this election is no longer an issue and the market is already starting to focus on new issues: inflation, the (euro zone) economy, and the U.S. data," said DZ Bank strategist Daniel Lenz.

He was referring to U.S. jobs numbers due out later which are expected to show 185,000 jobs were created in April following March's underwhelming 98,000 figure. ECONUS

The dollar .DXY and U.S. government bond yields US10YT=RR had both been nudged lower by the commodity market worries. It is set to be the fourth weekly fall on the trot for the greenback which is now at its lowest since November.

The yen JPY= and gold XAU= rose in tandem as investors took refuge in safe havens, though the latter remained on track for its biggest weekly decline in nearly six months on bets that U.S. interest rates will rise again in the coming months. GOL/

"I think the payrolls will be under consensus," said fund manager Hermes chief economist Neil Williams.

"It fits with my view that the U.S. is going to peak out at a far lower interest rate than markets expect. The Fed's dot plots says 3 percent, but I'm going closer to 1.5 percent." (Addition Reporting by Abhinav Ramnarayan in London; Editing by Hugh Lawson)

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.