👀 Ones to watch: The MOST undervalued stocks to buy right nowSee Undervalued Stocks

Collapsing bond yields drive world stocks to new highs

Published 2019-07-04, 05:04 a/m
© Reuters.  Collapsing bond yields drive world stocks to new highs
EUR/USD
-
IT40
-
CBKG
-
DX
-
LCO
-
CL
-
DE10YT=RR
-
US10YT=X
-
STOXX
-
MIAPJ0000PUS
-
MIWD00000PUS
-
DXY
-

* Government bond yields near multi-year lows

* German 10-year Bund yields just off record lows

* U.S. Treasuries near 2-1/2 year low

* Slumping bonds push world stocks to new 18-month highs

* Graphic: World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

By Tom Wilson

LONDON, July 4 (Reuters) - Government bonds held near multi-year lows on Thursday on bets the U.S. Federal Reserve would cut interest rates this month and that other major central banks would embrace looser monetary policy, pushing world stocks to new 18-month highs.

Benchmark debt yields held near record lows in the wake of their recent rally, with Germany's 10-year Bund yields just off a historic low of minus 0.39% DE10YT=RR hit on Wednesday.

U.S. 10-year Treasury notes had hit their lowest since November 2016 on Wednesday, pushed down by bets that the European Central Bank's next chief will maintain a dovish policy stance to buoy the euro zone economy.

"For central banks, everyone is expecting dovish moves, not only for U.S. but also for Europe and even Japan," said Christophe Barraud, chief economist at Market Securities in Paris. "Everybody is a optimistic for quick central bank moves."

The fall in U.S. Treasuries came after a report showed U.S. companies added fewer jobs than expected in June, raising concerns the labour market is softening even as the current U.S. economic expansion marked a record run last month. Wall Street closed for the Independence Day holiday, the market's focus is now on Friday's U.S. non-farm payrolls, which economists expect to have risen by 160,000 in June compared with 75,000 in May.

Separately, U.S. President Donald Trump on Wednesday repeated his call for the United States to manipulate currencies and pump money into their economies. the euro zone, government borrowing costs have fallen to record lows after EU leaders agreed late on Tuesday to name Christine Lagarde as the ECB's new president.

Lagarde, the current International Monetary Fund head, is widely expected to maintain the dovish stance of current ECB President Mario Draghi.

On Thursday, German Bunds flirted with the ECB's minus 0.40%deposit rate, a closely watched psychological mark, though traders did not think it would be broken.

"We don't expect it to be breached today," said Peter McCallum, rates strategist at Mizuho. "There will not be enough catalysts to get through that point and there is a lot of supply."

For an interactive version of Bund yield set to fall below ECB deposit rate, click here https://tmsnrt.rs/2YtKj7d.

The action in bond markets buoyed stocks. MSCI's all-country world index .MIWD00000PUS eked out a 0.1% gain after hitting its highest since February last year a day earlier.

Equity markets across Europe were flat, with the Euro STOXX 600 .STOXX unchanged amid thin volumes. The three major U.S. stock indexes finished at record closing highs on Wednesday.

Italian 10-year bond yields also slumped to their lowest since late 2016 after the European Commission dropped its threat of disciplinary action over Italy's public finances, pushing the country's main bourse .FTMIB to a new two-month peak. Asia, MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan .MIAPJ0000PUS rose 0.2%.

FLAT DOLLAR, EURO

Expectations for rate cuts by the Fed saw the dollar drift away from recent highs, though currencies were by and large quiet in early European trade.

The dollar index .DXY against a basket of six major currencies was unchanged at 96.767.

The euro traded at $1.1284 EUR= , slightly higher than its two-week low of $1.1268 touched on Wednesday.

FX strategists said that although the drop in U.S. Treasury yields overnight was negative for the dollar, softness in other currencies was lending some support.

"We are seeing some euro weakness and some dollar weakness, and the two are cancelling each other out," said Thu Lan Nguyen, FX strategist at Commerzbank (DE:CBKG).

"What is happening in U.S. and euro zone monetary policy will also determine what happens in smaller countries," she added.

In commodity markets, oil slumped on data showing a smaller-than-expected decline in U.S. crude stockpiles and worries about the global economy.

Brent crude futures LCOc1 , the international benchmark for oil prices, were down 0.7% at $63.36 per barrel by 0844 GMT. Reuters Live Markets blog on European and UK stock markets, please click on: LIVE/

<^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ Bund yield set to fall below ECB deposit rate png

https://tmsnrt.rs/2YqE2cu Bund yield set to fall below ECB deposit rate interactive

https://tmsnrt.rs/2YtKj7d

^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^>

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.