Currencies and Forex Analysis & Opinion

The soft landing playbook could see a temporary reversal today were the December US jobs report to come in on the strong side. The market seems to have gotten a little ahead of itself in pricing the...

The US dollar is under pressure as the pound, and euro attempt a recovery, raising doubts about its upward trajectory. The dollar's recent easing is due to a minor rebound in risk appetite, a lack...

Hawks and doves might both be satisfied with yesterday's Fed minutes. Stressing conditionality seems inconsistent with March cut expectations, but the openness to a QT exit and concerns about the...

The EUR/USD’s sluggish start to the year continued in the first half of Wednesday’s session, with investors showing a preference for the US dollar ahead of key data releases from the...

The dollar jumped yesterday as investors started to return from the long Christmas break. Markets are unwinding some dovish bets, and questioning stretched equity valuations, ultimately favoring...

The prevailing market consensus points toward lower interest rates in developed countries next year, with both the Federal Reserve (Fed) and the European Central Bank (ECB) anticipated to make rate...

The Bank of Japan did not give in to market pressure and kept its dovish guidance intact. However, the wording on the economic and inflation outlook paves the way for a hike in the second quarter in...

With the Bank of Japan being the last major central bank decision left for this year and the last important macro releases of the year to come this week, the USD/JPY is the featured currency pair of...

The dollar is recovering some ground after the pushback from Fed officials against rate-cut bets. However, the dovish Dot Plot may work as an anchor for rates and keep the dollar soft into the end of...

As the dust settles after a furious period for central bank meetings we are left to conclude that European policymakers have chosen to push back more than the Fed when it comes to what the market...

In a somewhat surprising move, the Fed has acknowledged recent disinflation trends and poured gasoline on the fire of easing expectations for 2024. The news has understandably been greeted by global...

The Fed decision is set to test market expectations of 125 basis point rate cuts in 2024, producing potential trading opportunities on GBP/USD or USD/JPY. The rate decision is a formality but the Fed...

It is now a very consensus view that the Fed will push back against rate cut expectations. We expect the Dot Plots will show only 50bp of cuts in 2024. Still, markets may feel less comfortable about...

The US dollar bounced back, ending a three-week decline, thanks to strong employment data and interest rate projections. Key economic indicators and central bank meetings, including the Fed, ECB, and...