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Is the Time Ripe for a Revenge of the 'Old Economy’?

Published 2024-08-26, 02:20 a/m

There is a very interesting case to be made for investing in the “old economy” today.

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Sentiment toward commodities and their producers has fallen to a degree of extreme bearishness you would expect to see at a major market bottom.

Jesse Felder Tweet

However, the headwind of a major dollar bull market over the past decade or so could be in the process of becoming a major tailwind in the years to come.Jesse Felder-Dollar Tweet

In that sort of environment, it would likely make more sense to own real assets versus financial ones.

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Over the long term, the performance of the two may be comparable but that truth belies the fact that the trends in favor of one over the other typically last for years if not decades.S&P 500 Chart

Perhaps the days of the outperformance of the “new economy” are numbered.

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