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Last week, we learned that the Consumer Price Index rose by 0.47% in January, well above expectations. Excluding food and energy, the news was not much better, with a 0.45% advance. It was a...
US economic activity is on track to maintain a moderate growth rate in 2025’s first quarter, according to the median for several nowcasts compiled by CapitalSpectator.com. Today’s initial Q1 estimate...
S&P futures are up +0.1% as of now, and the U.S. markets will be closed today for Presidents' Day. Asian markets were mostly higher on Monday, and European markets are steady-to-firmer in early...
Market Shakes Off Inflation Data I am back from traveling, and we have a good bit to catch up on since our last report. If you missed it, I provided an update on Tuesday, updating all the weekly...
The appetite for leverage in the stock market currently appears insatiable. “Retail daredevils — undeterred by recent Wall Street jitters over AI and crypto — are going long, pumping up leveraged...
US Economy I: On the Road Again. Taylor Swift’s “The Eras Tour” was her sixth tour. It started on March 17, 2023, in Glendale, Arizona and concluded on December 8, 202,4 in Vancouver, British...
There are many media-driven narratives about the impact of tariffs on the economy and the markets. Most of them are incredibly bearish, predicting the absolute worst possible outcomes. For fun, I...
Gold hits historic highs amidst dynamic market shifts! In this video, we provide a detailed breakdown of key market moves and trading opportunities. Leveraging expert technical analysis, we...
Stocks finished the day higher as bond yields fell following the PPI report. The key data points in the data suggested that core PCE will likely not come in as hot as the core CPI report left...
Gold hits record highs, creating exciting opportunities for your portfolio! In this video, we dive into today's market highlights, offering invaluable technical analysis of current market...
In this episode, I look at the latest U.S. inflation report, which shows a slight increase to 3% in January—higher than expected. Rising energy, transportation, and shelter costs are keeping...
US equity futures are slightly higher. European markets opened firmer and Asian equities ended mixed. Markets continue to digest the hotter-than-expected US January CPI report, which reinforced...
Yesterday's CPI came in much hotter than expected, and the impacts were felt throughout the bond market and the US dollar complex. Core CPI came in at 0.4% - hotter than the 0.3% m/m estimates....
US inflation came in well ahead of expectations, prompting the market to dramatically reprice the prospect of rate cuts. Potential tariffs add upside risk to inflation in coming quarters, but there...
We finished 2024 with a slightly soft reading, but we began 2025 with a hot reading. Now, my admonition last month about the volatility of December data applies also to January data, although less so...