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Solar Sector Feels Heat as Analysts Lower Targets

Published 2024-10-15, 08:02 a/m
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The solar industry is under pressure, with leading stocks like First Solar (NASDAQ:FSLR) and Enphase Energy experiencing significant declines. The recent downward revisions in price targets have raised concerns across the sector, negatively impacting investor sentiment and share prices.

First Solar's Challenges

Jefferies' decision to lower the price target for First Solar was a pivotal moment this week. The adjustment, from $271 to $266, came amid fears that First Solar's upcoming earnings might underperform. This was not an isolated revision, as just days prior, Bank of America (NYSE:BAC) Securities had decreased their target as well, from $343 to $321.

Hurricanes and Reduced Demand

First Solar shares have dropped over 9%, following back-to-back price target reductions. Despite being rated as a 'buy' by Jefferies, analyst Dushyant Ailani raised concerns over potential third-quarter disappointments. Factors such as labor shortages and supply chain disruptions are expected to challenge the company, prompting a price target cut from $271 to $266. Earlier this week, Bank of America expressed similar concerns, lowering its target from $343 to $321, while maintaining a long-term positive outlook.

Enphase Energy's Downturn

In a related development, Roth MKM analyst Philip Shen lowered the price target for Enphase Energy, citing concerns over the company's declining market share in the battery and storage sectors. The price target was revised from $140 to $130. This adjustment has heightened apprehension about the stability of the solar power industry, with Enphase Energy's shares reflecting a further downturn."

Broader Sector Impact

The repercussions of these analyst adjustments extend beyond individual companies, casting a shadow over the entire clean energy sector. As investors digest these updates, the broader market has adopted a more cautious tone, reflecting concerns about deeper underlying issues within the solar industry. Alternative Energy and Solar Energy ETFs dropped 2.20% and 6.82%, respectively.

Solar Energy ETF (NYSE:XLE) Focus

Solar Energy ETFs are facing a challenging year, having lost 24.65% since January, while Alternative Energy funds have declined by 9.20% over the same period. In contrast, the Euro Stoxx 50 Index has gained 11% gain during this timeframe. The Invesco Solar Energy UCITS ETF (LON:ISUN), which has 9.41% of its assets in Enphase Energy and 9.47% in First Solar, has lost 6.85% this week and 25.71% year-to-date.

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