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Monex Monex

Monex's Comment & Analysis.
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French politics should weigh further on the euro By Monex - 21 hours ago

CAD USDCAD saw another leg higher on Monday, in line with broad dollar moves, but with the loonie continuing to outperform on crosses. A blank Canadian calendar of events is likely to keep the pair...

French political risks tank the euro By Monex - Dec 02, 2024

CAD Similar to other high beta G10 currencies, the loonie has found itself caught up in this morning’s FX moves, with USDCAD up 0.25%. That said, with market-implied odds pricing a 60% risk that the...

Muted trading over Thanksgiving By Monex - Nov 29, 2024

CAD Canadian GDP, set for release at 13:30 GMT, should offer something to keep loonie traders busy at the end of another wise quiet week. Even so, the release has arguably been overshadowed by recent...

The dollar slides into Thanksgiving By Monex - Nov 28, 2024

CAD The loonie underperformed the broad dollar rout on Wednesday, gaining just 0.2% versus the greenback. Indeed, despite only modest losses on the day, USDCAD remains above the 1.40 level, a...

Tariff risks front of mind once again By Monex - Nov 26, 2024

CAD Given the overnight comments from Trump, USDCAD is naturally one of the major movers this morning. The pair is currently trading up around 1%, with loonie weakness proving stickier than the...

Weaker USD By Monex - Nov 25, 2024

CAD USDCAD drifted lower during the Asian session on Monday. The weakening of USD and lower US Treasury bond yields after President-elect Donald Trump said he will nominate Scott Bessent as US...

Markets await Trump’s Treasury Secretary pick By Monex - Nov 22, 2024

CAD In confirmation that our longstanding concerns around Canadian growth are seemingly shared by policymakers, yesterday saw PM Trudeau announce a C$6.3bn fiscal package aimed at supporting consumer...

Russia-Ukraine and Trump picks front of mind By Monex - Nov 21, 2024

CAD Industrial production data, published today, and retail sales tomorrow, are the two Canadian releases of note before the weekend. Even so, neither should prove hugely consequential for the loonie...

The dollar dips, despite limited data By Monex - Nov 19, 2024

CAD Given the light data calendar elsewhere, the major focus for today should be Canadian CPI. Markets expect a 2.0% YoY headline reading, with both core-median and core-trim a little higher at 2.4%....

The dollar tops out for now By Monex - Nov 18, 2024

CAD Arguably the most interesting release of the week in our eyes – Canadian CPI data – is set for release tomorrow. Markets expect to see a rebound in headline inflation, with both core-median and...

Powell puts a December rate cut in doubt By Monex - Nov 15, 2024

CAD Out of all G10 currencies, the loonie has perhaps been the most interesting to us post-US elections. Market inclination to trade the loonie as a greenback-lite expression has kept USDCAD price...

Further highs for the dollar By Monex - Nov 14, 2024

CAD The greenback’s mid-week surge saw USDCAD finally pierce the 1.40 level which had looked to be a major resistance for the pair. This meant that the loonie was briefly left trading at lows last...

The dollar hits new highs By Monex - Nov 13, 2024

CAD The loonie continues to outperform post-election, with USDACD still shy of the 1.40 level. Indeed, market bias still appears to favour treating the loonie as a dollar-lite expression, rather than...

Little on the Horizon to de-throne King Dollar By Monex - Nov 12, 2024

CAD After an initial post-election reaction that we felt was at odds with fundamentals, the subsequent USDCAD rally better reflects the risks facing the loonie in our view. Even so, a 0.7% climb for...

US CPI and Fed speakers in focus this week By Monex - Nov 11, 2024

CAD The loonie continues to trade relatively rangebound against the dollar, in contrast to other G10 FX pairs. That said, it is a little surprising to us that trade risks do not weigh more heavily on...

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