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Monex Monex

Monex's Comment & Analysis.
Access a complete archive of all posts and research produced by Monex, including current material.
Still too early to turn bearish on the dollar By Monex - 11 hours ago

CAD In Canada, it should be retail sales that are the major focus ahead of the weekend. Markets look for a sharp rise in consumer spending, with a 1.6% MoM jump in sales forecast. Even so, we would...

Trump’s comments continue to drive markets By Monex - Feb 20, 2025

CAD In keeping with the greenback’s broad-based climb on Wednesday, USDCAD rose through the 1.42 level, adding 0.3pp over the course of the session. Industrial prices are the only domestic event of...

Ukraine peace talks see the dollar strengthen By Monex - Feb 18, 2025

CAD Today’s CPI data should be front of mind for loonie traders ahead of the release at 13:30 GMT. Consensus expectations look for 0.1% MoM price growth in January, with all-items CPI seen rising...

Little scope for a softer dollar By Monex - Feb 14, 2025

CAD USDCAD continued to slide on Thursday, with a further paring of tariff risks helping to catalyse this latest move lower. Given our longstanding view on the credibility of Trumps, tariff threats,...

US CPI skews risks for the dollar to the upside By Monex - Feb 12, 2025

CAD Despite the focus on US inflation data this afternoon, loonie traders will also have a summary of deliberations to contend with today, due to be released at 18:30 GMT. Indeed, this release will...

Markets shift on tariff risks By Monex - Feb 10, 2025

CAD The Canadian dollar was highly volatile last week following the U.S. tariff announcement. USDCAD initially surged as markets reacted to the 25% import levy on Canadian goods but reversed some...

Payrolls should leave the dollar undisturbed By Monex - Feb 07, 2025

CAD Unlike the counterpart US print, we expect Canadian data to paint a much grimmer picture this afternoon. Markets look for just 25k job additions, while the unemployment rate is seen climbing to...

The dollar hits a floor for now By Monex - Feb 06, 2025

CAD While tomorrow’s jobs data is the main domestic data release of the week, today, Governor Macklem should capture Canadian headlines. The Governor is set to deliver video remarks to a BIS event,...

A partial tariff reprieve By Monex - Feb 04, 2025

CAD Monday saw a roller-coaster start to the week for loonie. After threatening 1.48 in the early morning, USDCAD ended the day trading a 1.44 as news broke that Trump would temporarily suspend his...

Trump finally follows through By Monex - Feb 03, 2025

CAD Perhaps unsurprisingly, the loonie is at the centre of attention once again to start the week. USDCAD is trading around 1.47, having come close to testing 1.48 in the early hours of the morning....

Yet more tariff threats from Trump By Monex - Jan 31, 2025

CAD While most dollar pairs were relatively unmoved by Trump’s comments overnight, the loonie was not amongst them, with USDCAD testing the 1.45 level before falling back in recent hours. Despite the...

A confused FOMC leaves the dollar in limbo By Monex - Jan 30, 2025 1

CAD The Bank of Canada trimmed rates by 25bps in yesterday’s latest policy decision, matching consensus expectations and our own pre-announcement call. That said, with this decision close to being...

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