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Easing Fed rate hike bets test dollar resilience By Monex - Aug 14, 2026

USDThe dollar proved relatively resilient on Thursday despite some dovish data surprises. July PPI landed flat on the month against expectations for a 0.2% rise, with the annual rate cooling from 5.5%...

FX digests an in-line US CPI By Monex - Aug 13, 2026

USDThe dollar spent Wednesday morning treading water, with the DXY index pinned just below 100 ahead of July's CPI report. The print, landing early yesterday afternoon, showed a headline price...

FX in a holding pattern ahead of US CPI By Monex - Aug 12, 2026

USDThe dollar spent Tuesday in a holding pattern, seeing the DXY index little changed just below the 100 handle that has prevailed since last Friday's payrolls report. Price action was again dominated...

Payrolls arrive with Hormuz risk back on the boil By Monex - Aug 07, 2026

USDThursday saw the dollar reverse its midweek slide, closing as the best performer in the G10 with the DXY up around 0.3% to sit just shy of the 100 mark this morning. First, Hormuz optimism soured...

Markets look ahead to Friday payrolls By Monex - Aug 06, 2026

USDThe greenback ground lower again on Wednesday, with the DXY index slipping around 0.2% to near 99.7. The data offered little support, delivering a distinctly stagflationary mix. ADP employment rose...

The buck consolidates as oil slips back By Monex - Aug 05, 2026

USDThe greenback consolidated on Tuesday, with the DXY index little changed just below the 100-mark, near six-week lows. With Washington and Tokyo standing back after last week's joint yen-buying...

The dollar stabilises amidst intervention jitters By Monex - Aug 04, 2026

USDThe dollar steadied to start the week. The broad dollar touched one-month lows early on Monday after Washington and Tokyo confirmed last week's joint yen-buying operations, pledging further action...

Yen intervention sees the dollar slump By Monex - Jul 31, 2026

USDThe dollar's post-Fed hangover deepened on Thursday. A 13:30 BST data deluge largely validated our call for rates to stay on hold through 2026: advance Q2 GDP landed at just 1.5% annualised,...

The dollar slides on pared back hiking expectations By Monex - Jul 30, 2026

USDThe dollar spent Wednesday in tight ranges before the main event. The FOMC held rates at 3.50-3.75%, matching our call, though Hammack, Kashkari, and Logan all dissented in favour of a 25bp hike,...

The US-Iran pause is over By Monex - Jul 29, 2026

USDAfter several days of calm, tensions in the Middle East ramped up overnight, with the US and Iran once again exchanging tit-for-tat strikes. Brent jumped around 3.5% in response, though FX has been...

A round trip for the dollar as oil slides again By Monex - Jul 28, 2026

USDThe suspension of US strikes on Iran, in place since late Friday with Tehran holding fire for as long as Washington does, initially extended the dollar's slide yesterday before the move reversed...

The dollar slips as the US pauses Iran strikes By Monex - Jul 27, 2026

USDThe dollar stabilised on Friday after a solid week of gains, albeit accompanied by a dip in oil as hints of US-Iran negotiation progress emerged. The real story broke over the weekend, however,...

Stagflation risks in full view By Monex - Jul 24, 2026

USDThursday brought the stagflationary mix into full view. A twelfth consecutive day of US-Iran strikes and Houthi attacks on Saudi tankers, which threaten to close the Bab el-Mandeb strait even as...

Middle East tensions underpin oil and the dollar By Monex - Jul 22, 2026

USDThe dollar firmed for a second day on Tuesday, the DXY consolidating around 101 as 10-year Treasury yields rose to 4.63% and markets pared Fed easing bets. Notably, the greenback gained despite a...

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