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Monex Monex

Monex's Comment & Analysis.
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The dollar bounces as Trump flip-flops on tariffs By Monex - Feb 28, 2025

CAD Given that Canada was the explicit target of yesterday’s US tariff threats, it is no surprise to see USDCAD notching higher, with the pair now trading above 1.44 on the back of these latest...

Mixed tariff risks keep markets off balance By Monex - Feb 27, 2025

CAD While the loonie has not fully unwound the recent move lower on the back of Trump’s comments yesterday, it is notable that USDCAD has begun early trading this morning with a softening bias. All...

Tariff risks re-emerge as a theme By Monex - Feb 25, 2025

CAD While Q4 GDP to end the week remains the main data release of note in Canada, Trump’s comments overnight shift the focus for loonie traders squarely onto trade risks. This has already propelled...

The euro bounces on German election results By Monex - Feb 24, 2025

CAD While elections are in focus in Europe, in Canada it is GDP data that should be front of mind this week. Set to be released on Friday, we expect to see growth rebound sharply in Q4. Our base case...

Still too early to turn bearish on the dollar By Monex - Feb 21, 2025

CAD In Canada, it should be retail sales that are the major focus ahead of the weekend. Markets look for a sharp rise in consumer spending, with a 1.6% MoM jump in sales forecast. Even so, we would...

Trump’s comments continue to drive markets By Monex - Feb 20, 2025

CAD In keeping with the greenback’s broad-based climb on Wednesday, USDCAD rose through the 1.42 level, adding 0.3pp over the course of the session. Industrial prices are the only domestic event of...

Ukraine peace talks see the dollar strengthen By Monex - Feb 18, 2025

CAD Today’s CPI data should be front of mind for loonie traders ahead of the release at 13:30 GMT. Consensus expectations look for 0.1% MoM price growth in January, with all-items CPI seen rising...

Little scope for a softer dollar By Monex - Feb 14, 2025

CAD USDCAD continued to slide on Thursday, with a further paring of tariff risks helping to catalyse this latest move lower. Given our longstanding view on the credibility of Trumps, tariff threats,...

US CPI skews risks for the dollar to the upside By Monex - Feb 12, 2025

CAD Despite the focus on US inflation data this afternoon, loonie traders will also have a summary of deliberations to contend with today, due to be released at 18:30 GMT. Indeed, this release will...

Markets shift on tariff risks By Monex - Feb 10, 2025

CAD The Canadian dollar was highly volatile last week following the U.S. tariff announcement. USDCAD initially surged as markets reacted to the 25% import levy on Canadian goods but reversed some...

Payrolls should leave the dollar undisturbed By Monex - Feb 07, 2025

CAD Unlike the counterpart US print, we expect Canadian data to paint a much grimmer picture this afternoon. Markets look for just 25k job additions, while the unemployment rate is seen climbing to...

The dollar hits a floor for now By Monex - Feb 06, 2025

CAD While tomorrow’s jobs data is the main domestic data release of the week, today, Governor Macklem should capture Canadian headlines. The Governor is set to deliver video remarks to a BIS event,...

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