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Monex Monex

Monex's Comment & Analysis.
Access a complete archive of all posts and research produced by Monex, including current material.
“Liberation Day” is here By Monex - 1 hour ago

CAD Somewhat to our surprise, the loonie was one of the big winners from yesterday’s trading session. USDCAD slipped from just shy of 1.44 to finish the day just north of 1.43. Granted, a rally in...

Pi (PI) Price Prediction 2025, 2026-2030 By Monex - 22 hours ago

In this Pi (PI) price prediction 2025, 2026-2030, we will analyze the price patterns of PI by using accurate trader-friendly technical analysis indicators and predict the future movement of the...

The dollar strengthens ahead of Liberation Day By Monex - Apr 01, 2025

CAD Unsurprisingly, the loonie traded under pressure to start the week. With tariff risks front and centre, long USDCAD remains a market favoured FX expression for import levy concerns. Even so, with...

Liberation Day tariffs in focus for the dollar By Monex - Mar 31, 2025

CAD Given Canada’s relative exposure to tariff risks, any “Liberation Day” announcements should be the key risk for loonie traders on the horizon. Granted, Canada is also set to receive March labour...

A UK mini-budget puts sterling in the spotlight By Monex - Mar 26, 2025

CAD A blank data calendar should keep loonie traders focused on the BoC’s summary of deliberations, released at 17:30 GMT. The big question for many remains whether or not the BoC is done cutting...

PMIs dent a US growth slowdown narrative By Monex - Mar 25, 2025

CAD A blank data calendar and a similarly barren docket of speakers should keep the loonie trading in limbo for the time being. Tariff risks remain the key risk on the horizon for CAD traders. But...

Fedspeak and Trump in focus this week By Monex - Mar 24, 2025

CAD After much speculation, new Liberal PM Mark Carney has called a snap election for April 28th, a move that while not impacting USDCAD significantly this morning, we are inclined to see as...

The Fed disappoints for the time being By Monex - Mar 20, 2025

CAD The loonie continues to grind higher against the dollar, finding little relief from last night’s FOMC decision. That said, we agree with the direction of travel, with tariff concerns warranting a...

Market turmoil ahead of the FOMC By Monex - Mar 19, 2025

CAD Yesterday’s CPI prints showed a greater-than-expected inflation rebound in February, causing a headache for the BoC. While some uptick in price growth had been expected given that a sales tax...

Dollar fundamentals favour a rebound this week By Monex - Mar 18, 2025

CAD February CPI data should be the focus for loonie traders today. Markets expect headline CPI growth to rise 0.6% MoM and 2.2% YoY, up from 0.1% and 1.9% respectively in January. That said,...

US CPI fails to signal concern By Monex - Mar 13, 2025

CAD While the BoC cut rates by 25bps yesterday, it was Governor Macklem’s mention of a “new crisis” that really caught the eye. He was, of course, referring to the ongoing US-Canada trade conflict....

US CPI a key test for the dollar By Monex - Mar 12, 2025

CAD The war of words between the Trump administration and Canadian officials intensified yesterday, with further tariff threats issued by both sides. Most notably, this saw Trump threaten to double...

European fiscal risks remain front of mind By Monex - Mar 11, 2025

CAD The loonie softened to start the week, with a backdrop of falling US equities proving a drag for the Canadian dollar. That leaves USDCAD trading around 1.44 ahead of tomorrow’s BoC decision, with...

US jobs data make or break for the dollar By Monex - Mar 07, 2025

CAD While USDCAD continues to sink in response to rolled-back US tariffs, we are still of the view that the current trade tensions are not a positive for loonie fundamentals. Tariff barriers are...

Rising yields help the euro, for now By Monex - Mar 06, 2025

CAD Not unsurprisingly given market tendencies, the loonie has seen some relief on the partial suspension of US tariffs. That said, as we note in our USD section above, this largely misses the point...

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