On Wednesday, Wolfe Research analyst upgraded shares of Taylor Morrison (NYSE:TMHC) Home Corporation (NYSE:TMHC) stock rating from Peerperform to Outperform and set a new price target of $76.00, indicating a potential 25% upside from the current level.
Analyst cites the company's improved margin and returns profile, as well as a more balanced consumer segmentation strategy, as key factors for the upgrade. According to InvestingPro data, TMHC currently trades at an attractive P/E ratio of 7.8x, with analyst targets ranging from $74.50 to $90.00, suggesting significant upside potential.
Taylor Morrison's stock is currently trading at a compelling 1.05 times Wolfe Research's 2025 Book Value estimate. The new price target suggests the stock would trade at 1.3 times the firm's 2025 Book Value estimate, which is 3% below the high end of the company's historical Book Value multiple range.
Despite a broader downward revision of estimates across the industry due to rising mortgage rates, analyst believes Taylor Morrison's diverse consumer exposure may shield it from intense incentive pressures, particularly at the Entry Level segment. InvestingPro analysis reveals strong financial health with a current ratio of 7.46 and return on equity of 15%, indicating robust operational efficiency. The company's Fair Value calculation suggests it remains undervalued at current levels.
The upgrade is also supported by Taylor Morrison's strong third-quarter results, which stood out within Wolfe Research's coverage universe. The company's fourth-quarter Gross Margin estimate was adjusted upwards by 90 basis points, and the Orders forecast was also increased slightly. Taylor Morrison was the only company in the coverage for which both Gross Margin and Orders estimates were raised.
Furthermore, Taylor Morrison's Resort Lifestyle Orders saw a year-over-year increase of 20% in the third quarter, carrying significantly higher Gross Margins than the fleet average. The company's strategic approach to incentives is also seen as a positive move, helping to support Gross Margin.
The analyst's comments reflect a positive outlook on Taylor Morrison's operational strategy and financial health in the face of a challenging mortgage rate environment. For deeper insights into TMHC's valuation and performance metrics, including 8 additional ProTips and comprehensive financial analysis, check out the detailed Pro Research Report available on InvestingPro.
In other recent news, Taylor Morrison Home Corp executed a $50 million share repurchase agreement as part of its $1 billion share repurchase program. The company has been showing strong performance, with third-quarter revenues exceeding $2 billion from the delivery of 3,394 homes.
Earnings per diluted share notably increased by 50% year-over-year, reaching $2.37. This performance has led to positive responses from analyst firms, with Raymond (NS:RYMD) James and RBC (TSX:RY) Capital Markets raising their price targets for Taylor Morrison to $84.00 and $77.00 respectively.
Raymond James commended the company's ability to adapt to varying mortgage rate scenarios while RBC Capital Markets highlighted the company's operational strength and financial discipline. Despite challenges such as rising mortgage rates and increased competition, Taylor Morrison remains optimistic about future growth, supported by sales growth in key markets and predictions of dropping mortgage rates.
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