Cyber Monday Deal: Up to 60% off InvestingProCLAIM SALE

Seasonal US fuel demand hits pandemic lows, weighs on refining margins

Published 2024-05-08, 12:45 p/m
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: A pump is seen at a gas station in Manhattan, New York City, U.S., August 11, 2022. REUTERS/Andrew Kelly/File Photo
CL
-
ZL
-
ZC
-
NYF
-

By Shariq Khan

NEW YORK (Reuters) - U.S. gasoline and diesel demand are at their weakest seasonal level since the 2020 coronavirus pandemic, data from the Energy Information Administration showed on Wednesday, pulling refiners' margins for making the products to multi-month lows.

The 4-week average demand for gasoline stood at 8.63 million barrels per day (bpd) in the week ended May 3, the lowest reading for the start of May since 2020 when the coronavirus pandemic decimated demand for transportation fuels.

Four-week average demand for distillate fuels, which includes diesel and heating oil, stood at 3.60 million bpd, also the weakest seasonal level since the pandemic, according to the EIA.

Some analysts have said the weakening demand for these products could be an indicator of stagnating economic activity, while others say it highlights a growing share of renewable fuels replacing conventional fossil fuels.

"The gasoline situation was going to be looked at by everybody and it definitely disappointed," Mizuho analyst Robert Yawger said. "If that's indicative of the performance of the economy, that's bad all around."

The drop in demand is weighing on refining margins, threatening to upend two years of bumper profits.

The U.S. 3-2-1 spread, a key measure of overall refining margins, traded below $26.50 a barrel on Wednesday for the first time since February. That spread has not traded this low at the start of May since 2021.

Similarly, the spread between U.S. gasoline futures and U.S. crude oil also narrowed to its weakest since February on Friday. The diesel crack spread traded at a one year low of around $23 a barrel earlier this month.

© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: A pump is seen at a gas station in Manhattan, New York City, U.S., August 11, 2022. REUTERS/Andrew Kelly/File Photo

Softer demand comes as U.S. gasoline stocks and distillate stocks rose last week, surprising analysts who on average predicted lower stocks in a Reuters poll.

Gasoline stocks rose by 915,000 barrels to 228 million barrels last week, the highest seasonal level since 2021. Distillate fuel oil stocks rose by 560,000 barrels to 116.4 million barrels in the week ended May 3, also the highest seasonal level in three years.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.