🤑 It doesn’t get more affordable. Grab this 60% OFF Black Friday offer before it disappears…CLAIM SALE

Dollar slips ahead of US growth data; yen on intervention watch

Published 2024-04-25, 05:16 a/m
© Reuters.
EUR/USD
-
GBP/USD
-
USD/JPY
-
AUD/USD
-
USD/CNY
-

Investing.com - The U.S. dollar slipped lower Thursday, retreating from last week’s five-month highs ahead of the release of key U.S. growth data, while the Japanese yen falls to 34-year lows.

At 04:10 ET (09:10 GMT), the Dollar Index, which tracks the greenback against a basket of six other currencies, traded 0.2% lower at 105.445, having climbed well over 106 last week.

Dollar to remain strong until end of "economic exceptionalism"

The dollar has edged lower ahead of the release of first-quarter U.S. gross domestic product data later in the session, which will show just how resilient the U.S. economy was in the beginning of 2024.

The Commerce Department's reading of gross domestic product is seen slowing to 2.5% in the first three months of the year from 3.4% in the fourth quarter, a drop in growth but an indication that the U.S. remains more robust than other advanced economies despite a period of sticky inflation and elevated interest rates.

More closely watched will be PCE price index data - the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge - which is due on Friday.

Despite the recent slippage, the dollar will remain the king of the currency playground until U.S. "economic exceptionalism" cools, according to Macquarie, in Wednesday note.

"Until the rest of the world begins to surpass the U.S., and until the Fed sets forth a clearer horizon for the start of policy easing, we continue to believe that it will be difficult for FX to rally against the USD," Macquarie said.

Euro hands back some of prior session’s gains

In Europe, EUR/USD rose 0.3% to 1.0726, gaining after the forward-looking GfK German consumer climate showed a small improvement in May, coming in at -24.2, an improvement from the upwardly-revised -27.3 seen the prior month.

This follows on from Wednesday’s rise in Germany’s Ifo Institute’s survey on business conditions and expectations for April, suggesting that the eurozone’s largest economy is slowly recovering.

GBP/USD rose 0.5% to 1.2521, with confidence growing after British businesses recorded their fastest growth in activity in nearly a year earlier this week.

Senior BoE officials - Governor Andrew Bailey and Deputy Governor Dave Ramsden - have recently said British inflation was falling in line with the central bank's predictions and the risk of it getting stuck too high had receded, setting the stage for a rate cut.

That said, inflation was above the BoE's 2.0% target in March, coming in at 3.2%.

USD/JPY soars above 155 resistance

In Asia, USD/JPY rose 0.2% to 155.67, with the pair climbing to its highest level since 1990, above the widely-watched 155 level.

The yen's slide against the dollar has revived expectations of currency intervention, with Japanese Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki, along with other policymakers, stating that they are watching currency moves closely and will respond as needed.

The Bank of Japan concludes its latest policy-setting meeting on Friday, and is expected to keep rates unchanged after a historic hike in March.

USD/CNY edged higher to 7.2473, remaining close to five-month highs, amid a series of strong fixes by the People’s Bank of China.

AUD/USD rose 0.5% to 0.6529, buoyed by receding bets of rate cuts from the Reserve Bank of Australia this year after the country's consumer price inflation slowed less than expected in the first quarter.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.