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UPDATE 1-Speculators raise short dollar bets to new 4-1/2-year high -CFTC, Reuters

Published 2017-09-15, 04:21 p/m
© Reuters.  UPDATE 1-Speculators raise short dollar bets to new 4-1/2-year high -CFTC, Reuters
AUD/USD
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By Dion Rabouin

Sept 15 (Reuters) - Speculators raised their short bets against the U.S. dollar for the fourth consecutive week, with the value of contracts against the greenback increasing to $11.57 billion in latest week, the largest since January 2013, according to data from the Commodity futures Trading Commission calculated by Reuters.

The value of the dollar's net short position, derived from net positions of International Monetary Market speculators in the yen, euro, British pound, Swiss franc and Canadian and Australian dollars for the week ending Sept. 12.

Net long contracts on the Mexican peso rose to the highest level since May 2013.

The dollar appreciated early in the week, bouncing back from last week's trading that pushed the euro to its highest level against the greenback in 2-1/2 years and sterling at its highest versus the dollar in more than a year.

Market participants are expecting the European Central Bank to announce an unwinding to its massive quantitative easing program in the near future. Policymakers at the Bank of England this week also suggested they may raise the country's overnight interest rates from current historically low levels.

Investors will next look to Wednesday's Federal Open Market Committee meeting, in which the Fed is expected to start reducing its $4.5 trillion balance sheet. There is, however, zero expectation for an interest rate hike.

"The Fed's tone and stance during next week's FOMC statement and press conference will play a major role in setting expectations for interest rates, the Fed's balance sheet reduction plans, and the U.S. dollar going forward," said James Chen, head of research at Forex.com in Bedminster, New Jersey.

The Reuters calculation for the aggregate U.S. dollar position is derived from net positions of International Monetary speculators in the yen, euro, British pound, Swiss franc and Canadian and Australian dollars.

Japanese Yen (Contracts of 12,500,000 yen) $6.502 billion

Sept. 12, 2017

Prior week

week

Long

40,642

47,285 Short

97,939

120,230 Net

-57,297

-72,945 EURO (Contracts of 125,000 euros) $-12.871 billion

Sept. 12, 2017

Prior week

week

Long

191,102

194,976 Short

105,044

98,667 Net

86,058

96,309 POUND STERLING (Contracts of 62,500 pounds sterling) $3.826 billion

Sept. 12, 2017

Prior week

week

Long

68,938

54,454 Short

115,023

107,381 Net

-46,085

-52,927 SWISS FRANC (Contracts of 125,000 Swiss francs) $0.171 billion

Sept. 12, 2017

Prior week

week

Long

13,556

11,892 Short

14,870

14,063 Net

-1,314

-2,171 CANADIAN DOLLAR (Contracts of 100,000 Canadian dollars) $-4.145 billion

Sept. 12, 2017

Prior week

week

Long

91,645

94,732 Short

41,146

41,088 Net

50,499

53,644 AUSTRALIAN DOLLAR (Contracts of 100,000 Aussie dollars) $-5.054 billion

Sept. 12, 2017

Prior week

week

Long

101,713

103,353 Short

38,680

38,449 Net

63,033

64,904 MEXICAN PESO (Contracts of 500,000 pesos) $-3.3 billion

Sept. 12, 2017

Prior week

week

Long

143,188

141,051 Short

26,190

27,439 Net

116,998

113,612 NEW ZEALAND DOLLAR (Contracts of 100,000 New Zealand dollars) $-0.9 billion

Sept. 12, 2017

Prior week

week

Long

25,150

26,773 Short

12,800

12,050 Net

12,350

14,723

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