Currencies and Forex Analysis & Opinion

Within 24 hours we may or may not know the identity of the 47th president of the United States, but FX options markets have priced in a respectful level of exceptionally high volatility over the...

USD Trump trades are front of mind this morning, with election day set for tomorrow and several notable polls released over the weekend. Specifically, high-quality polls from NYT/Siena surveying all...

The U.S. dollar faces uncertainty with elections and Fed decisions ahead. Key support at 104 will be vital for the dollar's direction amid rising volatility. Election outcomes could significantly...

Markets are seemingly scaling back from a few Trump trades, and we suspect the next two days can see some abnormal swings in US Dollar crosses due to tighter volatility conditions ahead of a closely...

I am not exaggerating when I tell you that I get hundreds of emails a day from forex traders asking me why didn’t this trade work out, why didn’t this trade work out and it is constantly the same...

USD This afternoon’s jobs report is the final tier-one data print ahead of the US elections. Due at 12:30 GMT, today’s data is widely expected to show a sharp slowdown in job gains in October, with a...

It’s been busy in FX markets with surprisingly strong 3Q growth in Europe and an aggressive tax-and-spend budget from the UK Labour government. Eurozone rates and the EUR/USD could stay more...

USD A choppy session for the dollar led FX market price action on Tuesday despite the DXY index ultimately finishing little change. Perhaps the most significant point of note in our eyes, however,...

The GBP/USD was a touch higher on Tuesday after it managed to rebound on the back of a firmer risk tone on Monday. That followed Israel’s limited response in Iran at the weekend, raising hopes that...

USD The dollar pared some initial strength on Monday, with the DXY index finishing the day down around 0.1%. Underpinning this modest retreat was a fading haven bid as Middle East tensions look to be...

Key U.S. and eurozone data could set the tone for EUR/USD ahead of the election. Fed's rate decision and GDP updates may drive volatility in the currency pair. Traders should brace for big moves, as...

The proximity to the US election can favour more deleveraging in FX, raising risks that less liquid currencies will face the pressure reserved for Trump-risk proxies. The US macro calendar picks up...

CAD Domestically, August GDP is the major event of note for Canadians this week. That said, events south of the border should be just as consequential if not more so for the loonie. In particular,...

It looks like Donald Trump is edging ahead in opinion polls – although the outcome of next week’s election remains a toss-up given the polling margin of error. Financial markets, however, seem to be...