Currencies and Forex Analysis & Opinion

CAD Despite the rally seen across European FX in recent days, the loonie has proven a notable laggard, seeing only marginal upside against the dollar. That said, we think this broadly makes sense....

The euro EUR/USD has surged after European leaders announced big spending plans for defence and infrastructure. This comes at a time when President Trump acknowledges that tariffs are causing a...

CAD With US tariffs going into force, Canada has responded with levies of their own. For now, this means a 25% tax on C$30bn-worth of US imports, with Canadian tariffs to be placed on an additional...

The BOJ’s policy shift continues to strengthen the yen, keeping USD/JPY under pressure. Rising Japanese bond yields signal further tightening ahead, reinforcing the bearish outlook. A break below...

Today marks a further large step into Donald Trump's America First Agenda. Substantial tariffs are being imposed on Canada and Mexico. Additional tariffs have gone in on China. Canada and China have...

CAD Last Friday’s GDP data did much to alleviate the downside pressure on CAD stemming from looming tariff risks. That said, we are inclined to think that this will be temporary relief, with few...

The dollar’s rebound faces a key test as traders assess Fed expectations, geopolitics, and slowing spending. With inflation cooling and rate-cut bets rising, markets eye jobs data for policy...

As markets assess the implications of the Zelenskyy-Trump clash on Friday, the focus today is whether US tariffs on Mexico and Canada will go ahead. The FX market is not pricing in 25% duties as a...

In response to criticism of tariff 'confusion', President Trump stepped in emphatically yesterday to announce that tariffs would be going ahead on Canada, Mexico, and China next Tuesday. That's the...

The US dollar has come under some pressure on the back of the rerating of the US growth outlook and expectations that the Russia-Ukraine conflict is nearing an end. However, we expect US tariffs to...

CAD While the loonie has not fully unwound the recent move lower on the back of Trump’s comments yesterday, it is notable that USDCAD has begun early trading this morning with a softening bias. All...

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FX volatility levels remain close to two-month lows as investors weigh up dominant themes. The possibility of a ceasefire in Ukraine certainly plays a role, judging by the pricing of assets in...

CAD The loonie was a notable standout on Tuesday for all the wrong reasons. CAD sold off against the dollar, even as the greenback gave up ground against the rest of the G10 complex. This move has...