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James Picerno
Markets Bet on Fed Pause Despite Hot Inflation Report By James Picerno - Sep 14, 2023

US consumer inflation rose more than expected in August, but the surprise jump hasn’t persuaded markets to abandon expectations that the Federal Reserve will leave interest rates unchanged at...

James Picerno
US Recession Risk Is Still Low, for Now By James Picerno - Sep 13, 2023

Some analysts who favor one or two indicators to forecast US recessions have had a rough year. The reliance on a generally robust predictor may yet prove its worth in the months ahead. But so far the...

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