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JPMorgan raises Resideo target to $31 from $27, keeps Overweight

Published 2024-11-20, 04:38 p/m
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On Wednesday, JPMorgan (NYSE:JPM) maintained its Overweight rating on Resideo Technologies (NYSE:REZI) and increased its price target to $31.00, up from the previous $27.00. The adjustment follows Resideo's third-quarter earnings released on November 7, which marked a return to organic growth for the first time since the second quarter of 2022. This growth occurred in both the Products & Solutions (P&S) and ADI segments of the company.

The analyst noted that Resideo has navigated through a cyclical downturn since mid-2022, and despite mixed macroeconomic trends, the company has made structural cost improvements. These changes are beginning to have a greater impact as sales volumes improve. Specifically, the P&S gross margin increased year-over-year for the sixth consecutive quarter to 42.2%, a rise of 350 basis points, contributing to a significant adjusted EBITDA beat for the quarter.

Furthermore, Resideo has raised its revenue outlook, attributing the positive adjustment to the momentum from recent product launches, such as new thermostats, and the broad-based strength across ADI’s core commercial markets. However, management anticipates that the pace of gross margin expansion will moderate until more new products are introduced in 2025.

The company is also undergoing leadership changes, with CEO Jay Geldmacher announcing his retirement and Chairman Roger Fradin resigning from the board. This follows the recent departure of CFO Tony Trunzo. The analyst suggested that the turnover might be concerning but also indicative of the successful completion of the transformation plan initiated by the outgoing leadership following the spinoff from Honeywell (NASDAQ:HON).

In other recent news, Resideo Technologies Inc. reported a strong performance in its third quarter, with total revenue climbing to $1.83 billion, an 18% rise compared to the same period last year. This growth was seen in both its Products and Solutions segment and ADI global distribution segment. Adjusted EBITDA also grew by 29% to $190 million. The company's recent acquisition of Snap (NYSE:SNAP) One is expected to contribute significant annual synergies, with $12 million anticipated in 2024 alone.

In addition to these financial highlights, Resideo's CEO, Jay Geldmacher, has announced his plans to retire in 2025, but will continue in a senior advisory role to ensure a smooth transition. Despite some challenges, particularly in the EMEA region, the company's Q4 revenue is expected to be between $1.815 billion and $1.855 billion, and adjusted EBITDA for Q4 is projected to be between $170 million and $185 million.

These are recent developments that investors should take note of. The company's focus on operational execution and cost discipline, as well as the integration of Snap One and the launch of new products, are contributing to Resideo's growth. The planned retirement of CEO Jay Geldmacher and his commitment to advising through the transition period suggest a stable future for the company's leadership.

InvestingPro Insights

Resideo Technologies' recent performance aligns with JPMorgan's optimistic outlook. According to InvestingPro data, the company's stock has shown impressive returns, with a 58.4% price total return over the past year and a 39.98% return in the last three months. This strong performance is reflected in the stock trading near its 52-week high, with the current price at 99.47% of that peak.

InvestingPro Tips highlight that Resideo has been profitable over the last twelve months, with analysts predicting continued profitability this year. This supports JPMorgan's view of the company entering a phase of sustained profitable growth. The company's liquid assets exceeding short-term obligations also suggest a solid financial position as it transitions from cost restructuring to product innovation.

For investors seeking a deeper understanding of Resideo's potential, InvestingPro offers 10 additional tips, providing a comprehensive analysis of the company's financial health and market position.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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