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Higher SBB yields cited by Barclays in fresh ING Groep stock rating

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 2024-06-18, 04:10 a/m
ING
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On Tuesday, Barclays (LON:BARC) updated its outlook on ING Groep NV (AS:INGA:NA) (NYSE: ING) stock, raising the price target from €20.00 to €20.50 while sustaining an Overweight rating on the shares.

The adjustment reflects revised net profit forecasts for the fiscal years 2024 through 2026, with an anticipated increase of 1%-2% following the company's Capital Markets Day (CMD).

The analyst from Barclays projects a growing Return on Tangible Equity (RoTE) for ING, reaching 14% by the fiscal year 2026. This growth is expected to be reflected in the stock's valuation, which is currently priced at one times the forecasted FY24 Tangible Net Asset Value (T/NAV).

The firm's reaffirmed Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1) ratio target of 12.5% and guidance on Risk-Weighted Assets (RWAs) bolster the confidence that ING will present the highest Share BuyBack (SBB) yield among its peers over the next 18 months, estimated at 14.5% of its market capitalization.

The analyst's commentary emphasizes the robustness of ING's financial strategy and the potential for shareholder returns. The Overweight rating indicates that Barclays expects the stock to outperform the average total return of the stocks covered in the sector over the next 12 to 18 months.

Investors and market watchers will likely monitor ING's progress towards achieving the outlined financial targets and the impact of these projections on the company's stock performance in the global markets. The raised price target signifies a positive outlook for ING's financial trajectory and its ability to deliver value to its shareholders.

In other recent news, Barclays has upgraded its stock outlook for ING Groep NV from Equalweight to Overweight. This change, which includes a new price target of EUR20.00, up from the previous EUR14.80, signifies a more positive outlook on the company's financial future.

Barclays' upgrade follows a reassessment of ING Groep's net interest income and potential capital return. The revised net interest margin model now anticipates figures that are 1% higher than consensus estimates for 2026, indicating a potentially stronger performance than previously expected.

Barclays' increased confidence in ING Groep arises from recent rate and pricing actions implemented by the bank. These strategic moves have prompted a positive shift in the forecast, suggesting that ING Groep may outperform market expectations in the upcoming years.

Furthermore, Barclays' comprehensive analysis of capital and fees has concluded that the market consensus might be undervaluing ING Groep's potential for stock buybacks.

The firm anticipates that ING Groep will lead its sector in yield returned to shareholders through these buybacks. These developments are part of recent changes in the financial landscape.

InvestingPro Insights

In light of Barclays' optimistic outlook on ING Groep NV, current real-time data from InvestingPro further enriches the narrative. With a market capitalization of $56.65 billion and a P/E ratio standing at 13.6, ING shows a solid financial footing. Notably, the company's adjusted P/E ratio for the last twelve months as of Q1 2024 is even more attractive at 12.02, signaling potential undervaluation. Additionally, ING's dividend yield is substantial at 8.14%, reflecting the company's commitment to returning value to shareholders, as evidenced by its dividend growth of 90.86% during the same period.

Two key InvestingPro Tips that align with Barclays' positive sentiment include ING's management aggressively buying back shares and the company's track record of raising its dividend for three consecutive years. These actions underscore the firm's confidence in its financial health and dedication to shareholder returns. It's also worth noting that analysts have revised their earnings upwards for the upcoming period, which may indicate potential for further stock appreciation.

For those interested in additional insights, InvestingPro offers more tips on ING, which can be accessed at https://www.investing.com/pro/ING. To take advantage of these expert analyses, use the coupon code PRONEWS24 to get an additional 10% off a yearly or biyearly Pro and Pro+ subscription. With the data and tips provided, investors can make more informed decisions regarding ING's promising financial journey.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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