Treasury yields rise, stock falls pressured by stronger-than-expected US jobs data

Published 2025-01-07, 09:19 p/m
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: People take pictures on an overpass with a display of stock information in front of buildings in the Lujiazui financial district in Shanghai, China August 6, 2024. REUTERS/Nicoco Chan/File photo
USD/JPY
-
JP225
-
LCO
-
CL
-
CSI300
-

By Chibuike Oguh and Amanda Cooper

NEW YORK/LONDON (Reuters) -Global stocks fell while U.S. Treasury yields rose on Friday after a stronger-than-expected jobs data reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve will likely keep interest rates elevated for longer than traders were betting on.

Wall Street's main indexes finished lower, with 10 out of 11 categories of stocks in the benchmark S&P 500 closing in the red led by financials, real estate, technology and consumer staples. Energy stocks ended higher. All three indexes notched their second straight week of losses.

The Labor Department data on Friday showed that the U.S. economy created 256,000 jobs in December, beating analyst expectations of 160,000, according to a Reuters poll of economists.

"This is one of those classic good-news-is-bad-news types of data point," said James St. Aubin, chief investment officer at Ocean Park Asset Management in Santa Monica, California. "When I think about the economic data that's good for growth, but it certainly weighs on the yield picture and kind of puts a bit of a bind when it comes to lowering rates. And I think the market is trying to sort that out."

Markets are now pricing in a single Fed rate cut no sooner than June. Prior to the jobs report, traders were expecting the Fed to cut rates as early as May with a 50% probability of another rate cut before year end, according to CME's FedWatch tool.

The yield on benchmark U.S. 10-year notes rose 8 basis points to 4.761%. It had reached as high as 4.79%, its highest level since November 2023.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 1.63% to 41,938.45, the S&P 500 fell 1.54% to 5,827.04 and the Nasdaq Composite fell 1.63% to 19,161.63.

Shares in small cap companies, which can be more vulnerable to fluctuations in interest rates, came under the most pressure during the session, pushing the Russell 2000 down 2.22%.

MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe fell 1.39% to 833.86. The pan-European STOXX 600 finished down 0.84%, dragged down by utilities, consumer non-cyclical, and real estate stocks.

"Bond yields are climbing today because the ability to cut further is going to be diminished after today's report even though I always advise to look at January numbers with a grain of salt given seasonality issues that work itself out in the next couple of months," St. Aubin added.

Government bond yields have jumped higher this week amid a broad market selloff that pushed long-dated borrowing costs to multi-year highs.

The turmoil in the fixed income market has hit UK government bonds particularly hard, pushing 30-year gilt yields to their highest since 1998, as investors grow increasingly worried about Britain's finances.

The U.S. dollar index, which measures the greenback against a basket of currencies including the yen and the euro,rose 0.39% to 109.70. It reached as high as 109.97, its highest level since November 2022.

The euro was down 0.52% at $1.0244, dropping to its lowest level since November 2022 on the session. The pound fell for a fourth day, dropping by as much as 0.91% to $1.2189, its lowest since November 2023. It last traded down 0.81% to $1.2204.

Oil prices rallied nearly 3% to their highest in three months, as traders braced for supply disruptions from the broad U.S. sanctions package targeting Russian oil and gas revenue.[O/R]

© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: A street sign for Wall Street is seen outside of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, New York, U.S., June 28, 2021. REUTERS/Andrew Kelly/File Photo

Brent crude futures were up 3.69% to $79.76 a barrel, after reaching their highest since October. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures settled up 3.58% to $76.57, also a three-month high.

Gold prices rose and were on track for the fourth straight day of gains. Spot gold rose 0.73% to $2,689.79 an ounce. U.S. gold futures settled 0.9% higher at $2,715.00.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2025 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.