Cyber Monday Deal: Up to 60% off InvestingProCLAIM SALE

Futures dip as caution prevails in data-packed week

Published 2024-12-02, 05:38 a/m
© Reuters. Traders work on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., November 27, 2024.  REUTERS/Brendan McDermid/File Photo
NDX
-
US500
-
NVDA
-
GAP
-
TSLA
-

By Shashwat Chauhan and Purvi Agarwal

(Reuters) -U.S. stock index futures started December on a sour note after recording robust gains last month, with focus on a slew of economic data this week, including multiple labor market reports, to gauge the Federal Reserve's interest rate path.

This week's centerpiece would be the November nonfarm payrolls report due on Friday, a key metric in also gauging the state of the labor market.

"Strong data will certainly revive the rate-cut-or-not discussions, while soft numbers will boost appetite for another 25bp cut from the Fed," said Ipek Ozkardeskaya, senior analyst at Swissquote Bank.

Traders currently see a more than 65% chance of the Fed opting for a 25-basis-point rate cut when it meets later this month, compared to a near 83% chance seen a month prior, as per CME's FedWatch Tool, on the back of data pointing to a resilient economy.

An October jobs opening reading is slated to be released on Tuesday, while November private payrolls data is due on Wednesday.

The benchmark S&P 500 and the blue-chip Dow clocked all-time closing highs on Friday, and recorded their best month in a year, capping off a stellar November for U.S. equities.

Investors relished in U.S. stocks last month after Republican candidate Donald Trump recaptured the White House along with his party sweeping both houses of Congress.

Analysts expect Trump's policies on tax cuts, tariffs and deregulation could spur greater corporate performance. However, concerns that his policies could bump up inflation have also led to markets dialing back hopes of the Fed ramping up its rate easing cycle.

The week is also packed with data that could indicate how the economy is faring, including multiple surveys of economic activity for the last month.

November manufacturing activity surveys from S&P Global (NYSE:SPGI) and the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) are due later in the day.

Numerous Fed speakers will also make public appearances this week including Fed Chair Jerome Powell, with investors hunting for any clues on the central bank's policy path.

Comments from Fed Governor Christopher Waller and New York Fed President John Williams would be on the radar later in the day.

At 6:53 a.m. ET, Dow E-minis were down 31 points, or 0.07%, S&P 500 E-minis were down 8.25 points, or 0.14% and Nasdaq 100 E-minis were down 29.5 points, or 0.14%.

On the day, most megacap and growth stocks were slightly lower, with Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA)'s 1% fall leading losses. Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA), on the other hand, outperformed with a 1.5% advance.

Among other early premarket movers, Gap rose 4.8% after J.P. Morgan upgraded the apparel retailer's rating to "overweight" from "neutral".

© Reuters. Traders work on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., November 27, 2024.  REUTERS/Brendan McDermid/File Photo

Chip equipment companies such as Applied Materials (NASDAQ:AMAT) and KLA Corp were marginally lower after a Reuters report said that the U.S. will be curbing semiconductor exports to 140 Chinese companies.

Software (ETR:SOWGn) firm Cloudflare (NYSE:NET) gained 3.9% after Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) raised its rating to "overweight" from "equal-weight" on the stock.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.