Bonds Analysis & Opinion

Fixed-income investors looking for interest-rate cuts from the Federal Reserve are still waiting, but that hasn’t stopped low-rated bonds from posting strong gains in 2023.The upside performance...

In Our Elevator Pitch For Bonds, we asked: “Is this time different?” Our view of the attractiveness of bonds can be honed into an elevator pitch. It essentially boils down to a...

US Treasury yields rose again this week. Benchmark 10-year Treasury yield gained 6 basis points to 4.33%. Meanwhile, the two-year yields ended at 5.04%, a similar rise of 6 basis points.Same trend in...

The US 10-year Treasury yield continued to trend higher in August, rising further above CapitalSpectator.com’s “fair-value” estimate, which is based on averaging three...

Current yields continue to show signs of peaking, based on a broad review of the major asset classes via a set of proxy ETFs. In each of our periodic updates of yields so far this year, the numbers...

US Treasury yields rose again as the ISM Services PMI increased from 52.7 to 54.5 in August, exceeding the market's anticipated figure of 52.5. Fed policymakers consider the services sector crucial in...

US treasury yields fell after the macro data showed that the US economy grew at a slower-than-expected 2.1% pace from the first quarter. Analysts had expected a gain of 2.4% in the second quarter....

The previous article discussed the potential ramifications related to policy actions that China and Japan might take. These large U.S. Treasury bondholders could temporarily upset the Treasury market,...

“China, Japan, inflation, deficits, and QT, oh my!” – The chant of bond traders watching yields creep higher.Despite the highest yields in 15 years, some bearish bond traders think...

The last time you could lock in a real (inflation-adjusted) yield with inflation-adjusted Treasuries (TIPS), the world was still cleaning up the mess from the financial crisis. A lot has changed since...

Rising interest rates are beginning to spook investors. And rightfully so.It’s been the fastest rise in rates in decades. And just when we thought interest rates were easing, they pushed higher...

Following stronger-than-anticipated retail sales, US Treasury yields escalated as investors contemplated the Federal Reserve's potential rise in rates later this year. The Fed’s minutes from...

For much of the year, the bond market has been embracing expectations that the Federal Reserve’s interest rate increases have peaked or were about to peak. The underlying logic centered on the...

US wholesale inflation rose more than expected last month. July registered a 0.3% month-on-month increase in Producer Prices (PPI), exceeding market expectations of 0.2% and marking the most...