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Bonds Analysis & Opinion

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James Picerno
Why Bank Loans, Junk Bonds Are Having a Good Year By James Picerno - Sep 21, 2023

Fixed-income investors looking for interest-rate cuts from the Federal Reserve are still waiting, but that hasn’t stopped low-rated bonds from posting strong gains in 2023.The upside performance...

Michael Lebowitz
High Bond Yields Keep Pricing in Economic Mirage By Michael Lebowitz - Sep 20, 2023

In Our Elevator Pitch For Bonds, we asked: “Is this time different?” Our view of the attractiveness of bonds can be honed into an elevator pitch. It essentially boils down to a...

TrackInsight
US Treasury yields ease again By TrackInsight - Sep 04, 2023

US treasury yields fell after the macro data showed that the US economy grew at a slower-than-expected 2.1% pace from the first quarter. Analysts had expected a gain of 2.4% in the second quarter....

Michael Lebowitz
Bonds Are on Sale, Get Them While They're Still Cheap By Michael Lebowitz - Aug 30, 2023

The previous article discussed the potential ramifications related to policy actions that China and Japan might take. These large U.S. Treasury bondholders could temporarily upset the Treasury market,...

Michael Lebowitz
Selloff in Bonds Is a Buying Opportunity By Michael Lebowitz - Aug 23, 2023

“China, Japan, inflation, deficits, and QT, oh my!” – The chant of bond traders watching yields creep higher.Despite the highest yields in 15 years, some bearish bond traders think...

James Picerno
What Do 14-Year High Real Yields Mean for the Economy? By James Picerno - Aug 22, 2023

The last time you could lock in a real (inflation-adjusted) yield with inflation-adjusted Treasuries (TIPS), the world was still cleaning up the mess from the financial crisis. A lot has changed since...

Chris Kimble
Have US Bond Yields Begun a New Long-Term Trend Higher? By Chris Kimble - Aug 21, 2023

Rising interest rates are beginning to spook investors. And rightfully so.It’s been the fastest rise in rates in decades. And just when we thought interest rates were easing, they pushed higher...

James Picerno
Has Treasury Market Misjudged Timing for Peak Rates Again? By James Picerno - Aug 16, 2023

For much of the year, the bond market has been embracing expectations that the Federal Reserve’s interest rate increases have peaked or were about to peak. The underlying logic centered on the...

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