Bonds Analysis & Opinion

Though data showed that wholesale inflation was cooling more than expected, Treasury yields ticked higher this week after hawkish comments from Fed Governor Christopher Waller. He advocates for more...

The 10-year Treasury rate continues to trade well above CapitalSpectator.com’s fair-value estimate, but the days of a large premium look numbered. As evidence mounts that inflation continues to...

Last month we looked at how stock market volatility ebbs and flowsHow Monitoring Volatility Regimes Helps Anticipate Key Market Pivots through time. Let’s pick up this thread and do the same for...

If you have been reading my public articles on the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NASDAQ:TLT) over the last half a year, then you would know of my expectation to see the bond market rally into...

Two hundred and sixty Fed meetings will occur between the issuing and maturing of a United States 30-Year Treasury bond. There will be 260 times when the Fed raises, lowers, or does nothing with Fed...

Treasury yields rebounded after the deal for deposits and assets of Silicon Valley Bank. The yield on the benchmark 10-Year U.S. Treasury Note rose 9 basis points from 3.38% to 3.47% as fears of a...

Turmoil in the bank industry and renewed concerns of economic headwinds are driving expectations that Federal Reserve's interest-rate hiking is at or near an end. In turn, the outlook has sparked a...

Treasury yields plunged again as investors flocked to safe-haven assets after the banking chaos. They are scaling back the likelihood of another rate hike this month from the Federal Reserve. The...

Treasury yields, which had jumped to their highest level in more than a decade last week, fell sharply Friday, in the wake of the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank, a major lender to tech startups....

With bond yields (and interest rates) rising sharply, it’s understandable that most of the world is hoping for lower rates.Lower interest rates allow for more flexible lending to both businesses...

U.S. Treasury yields rose for the sixth week in a row. The 10-year benchmark rate hit its highest level since November, climbing to 4.09% on Thursday before moving back to 3.96% on Friday. The 2-year...

Expectations for further rate hikes pushed Treasury yields higher. They now reach levels not seen in three months. The 10-year benchmark rate hit its highest level since Nov. 9 (3.95%). The 2-year...

Cash is no longer trash, courtesy of sharply higher interest rates. Trailing yields on risky assets are looking up too.The source for the change in payout rates, of course, is a run of rate hikes by...

There is a time to be long, a time to be short, and a time to go fishing.As inflation skyrocketed and the Fed turned hawkish, bonds were kryptonite for investors for most of 2022: it was time to be...