Bonds Analysis & Opinion

The US 10-year Treasury yield continues to rise, pushing ever higher above CapitalSpectator.com’s “fair-value” estimate, which is based on averaging three models. The trend...

After over a month of continuous rise, the yields on government bonds plunged this week amid rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and not-so-hawkish comments from U.S. Federal Reserve...

Rising interest rates have created a decline in treasury bonds not seen in modern times.Well, they say crisis equals opportunity.This may be the case today as we look at a long-term...

Psychology in markets is always fascinating. In February 2009, I wrote “8 Reasons For A Bull Market.” While in hindsight, it is easy to see that was the right call, overall, psychology was...

The rise in long-term U.S. Treasury yields continues, mainly due to structural changes that are expected to result in high inflation. These changes include the transition to alternative energy,...

The ongoing bear market in Treasury bonds is among the worst on record, but several sectors of the fixed-income market remain ports in a storm, based on year-to-date results through Thursday (Oct. 5)...

The bond market rout continues to deteriorate and cause growing pains for banks.  Losses in long-maturity bonds are nearing historical levels after coming under severe pressure due to...

There are several indicators to watch when assessing risk across the financial markets, and today we discuss one of the more important ones. Junk bonds. When junk bonds are performing well and in...

A perfect storm may be brewing for the bond market as a combination of factors drives yields higher.Exhibit A is the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield, which rose again in yesterday’s trading to...

Fed's actions and projections remain disconnected from each other Powell needs to make bonds attractive in order to keep the US economy going ahead Meanwhile, a bearish steepening has made it even...

US Treasury yields rose again this week after the Federal Reserve signalled a higher-for-longer rate regime to get inflation down to its 2% target. Benchmark 10-year Treasury yield gained 11 basis...

There is a rare and powerful trend occurring in bond markets.History shows that if left unchecked, it can cause serious damage to equity markets and the economy. Over the last 3 months, US bond...

When treasury bond yields are rising, bond prices are falling. It’s an inverse relationship.And so it makes sense that the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NASDAQ:TLT) has fallen sharply...

The collective wisdom of the bond market for much of this year has been betting that interest rates would soon peak and fall. But those bets appear to be unwinding in the wake of Wednesday’s...